Page 65 - Australian Defence Magazine Aug 2019

one-way door. You went from Oberons to Collins and you never came back. Do you see that changing between Collins and Future Submarine? Will there be a two- way door, for people and technology? DAVIS: Absolutely. I think it’s really im- portant when you have a look at the sub- marine enterprise and move away from the program level discussion and you look at the submarine capability. For us, it’s really important we attract people into the enter- prise and retain them. Between ourselves and ASC, we’re investing a lot in the work- force at ASC for Collins sustainment, Col- lins LOTE and Future Submarine.
It would be churlish for us to set up a frameworkwherewe’recreatinganenviron- ment where we don’t have mobility within the workforce and as a consequence of that, drive enthusiastic people into other pro- grams where there are mobility options.
ADM: And what about that mobility of technology between the two platforms? DAVIS: Yes certainly. There are obviously some restrictions on technology in terms of what can be seen by whom, but putting that aside, absolutely there are opportuni- ties. For the Attack program, we’re into a procurement process which has got to be fair and equitable for industry as a whole within Australia.
We don’t want to just allocate work to ASC for example, we’ll have to compete it and we’ll have to look at the work which represents best value for money.
ADM: What roles do you see manned and unmanned technologies playing in the Future Submarine space?
DAVIS: At the threat of being called a heretic, I personally don't agree with much oftheconversationsayingthatsuddenlythe ocean is going to be transparent and the day of manned submarines has gone. I’ll start by evidencing the fact that three first world navies are currently building ballistic sub- marines for their strategic deterrent. They wouldn’t be doing that if they thought their nuclear capabilities were under constant threat with this transparent ocean.
What I will say though is that there has been, and there is a fundamental change oc- curring in terms of availability of technol- ogy, processing and computing power, and that works in favour of both the aggressor andthedefender.
If Australia was to seek to project force in the littoral waters, we are likely to run into more sophisticated and more capable networks and sensors, etc, which makes the probabilityofdetectiongreater.
In that sense, I think for manned subma- rines you’ll see a change in the missions that they will ultimately perform in the future.
For littoral, high threat detection missions I think you will likely see more unmanned underwater vehicles (UUVs) being used and there’s a number of advantages to that. The technologies there; they can do remote sensing, they can do weapons deployment.
On the flipside, in defensive missions, the manned submarine now is more likely to have a greater level of integration and co- operation with fixed and deployable sensors and effectors, including unmanned vehicles. You’ll likely see the manned submarine be- ing part of an integrated force arrangement.
I think submarines are going to per- sist although there are absolutely a lot of non-acoustic detection techniques which improve the ability to detect submarines. But the manned submarine will persist, particularly in blue water environments and it’s likely to be bigger, it’s likely to have more integration with UUVs and be more network-centric warfare capable with the support of UUVs. I think therefore that the notion that submarines are gone in 2035 or even 2050 is probably misguided.
ADM: Rear Admiral Greg Sammut has been often quoted saying the first subma- rine is going to be quite different to the last submarine because you’re looking at two and a half decades between the first and last one coming off the line. What do you think are the logical technology in- sertion points?
DAVIS: You really need to have a line between the technology maturity and the point of insertion into the boat program. So it depends how the boats are batched, that’s really the critical thing and there isn’t a clear position on this at this time.
ISSUE 514 NEWS | INTELLIGENCE | BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES | EVENTS
DEFENCE WEEK PREMIUM EDITION
AustralianArmyofficertraineesconductapatrolduringtheRoyalMilitaryCollegetrainingactivitynearTownsville,Queensland. DEFENCE
Major changes afoot in the north
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An artist's rendering of the Attack class.
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