Page 53 - bne IntelliNews Country Report: Russia Dec17
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would   become   an   increased   burden   on   the   entire   population,   leading   to   higher inflation.
A   reduction   in   mandatory   pension   payments   would   in   turn   make   the   Pension fund   of   Russia   even   more   dependent   on   the   state   budget,   which   contradicts the   main   principle   of   a   pension   reform   of   the   2000s.
However,   as   the   funded   portion   of   pension   contributions   has   been   “frozen”   for four   years   running,    the   pension   reform   seems   to   have   failed   anyway.
Some   other   proposals   for   amendments   to   the   tax   system   were   rejected   at earlier   stages   of   discussion,   including   the   introduction   of   a   sales   tax.
Russian   business   representatives   are   concerned   by   the   raising   tax burden    and   addressed   an   open   letter   to   the   President   Vladimir   Putin   on November   20,    Vedomosti    daily   reported   citing   the   letter   signed   by   four   unions and   associations.
For   years   the   high   tax   burden   has   been   named   as   the   number   one   reason limiting   output   growth   in   the   business   confidence   surveys   and   businesses   are alarmed   over   new   tax   regulations   creeping   into   the   2018   federal   budget.
Putin   signed   a   moratorium   on   increasing   the   tax   burden   in   2014    in   effect   until 2018,   but   the   de-facto   situation   deteriorated   due   to   fees,   duties   and   other levies   that   are   not   formally   taxes.   The   government   has   been   short   of   cash   to fund   a   budget   deficit   for   the   last   two   years   and   is   casting   about   for   new sources   of   revenue,   but   remains   reluctant   to   hike   the   low   levels   of   income   tax. "We   recently   mentioned   the   fears   in   the   business   community   over   the   cabinet plans   to   reintroduce   tax   on   movable   assets   into   the   2018   budget   draft   aimed   at raising   at   least   RUB70bn   ($1.2bn),"   Alfa   Bank   reminded   on   November   20.
On   top   of   the   movable   assets   tax,   the   government   could   also   introduce   other obligatory   payments   for   equipment   imports;   recycling   fees   (at   a   rate   of   7%); and   investment   fees   at   seaports   (at   a   rate   of   25%).
Vedomosti       estimates   the   additional   taxes   will   raise   a   fresh   RUB100bn ($1.7bn)   for   the   budget   in   for   2018,   while   Alfa   puts   the   total   fiscal   effect   to   as high   as   RUB300bn   (1%   of   the   consolidated   budget   revenues),   while   noting that   "the   Finance   Ministry   may   have   serious   reasons   to   insist   on   them."
The   authors   of   the   letter   to   the   president   warn   that   all   the   new   collections   will inevitably   chip   away   from   investment   growth   across   all   real   sector   segments. Machinery   imports   account   for   over   40%   of   Russian   imports   and   is   directly correlated   to   investment   in   capacity.
Industry   participants   surveyed   by    Vedomosti    argue   that   while   the   latest economic   outlook   by   the   government   is   targeting   growth   in   investment,   such measures   are   discouraging   investment   activity.   Other   experts   note   that   fiscal predictability   could   be   even   more   important   for   businesses   than   low   taxes.
"Regardless   the   immediate   reaction   of   the   President   [to   the   letter],   after   the presidential   elections   the   cabinet   will   have   no   choice   and   will   proceed   to   move ahead   and   increase   the   tax   burden,"   Alfa   believes.
The   intention   to   increase   the   tax   burden   on   business   is   an   indication   that   after
53       RUSSIA  Country  Report   December    2017                                                                                                                                                                                www.intellinews.com


































































































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