Page 15 - IRANRptMar20

4.0​ Real Economy
Iran - Main Macro Indicators
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Annual GDP (y/y)
-6.6 -1.9 4.3 4.4 13.4 3.8 -4.9
GDP (per capita) (USD)
7,719.77 7,931.07 6,007.46 5,579.25 4,899.68 5,230.19 5,494.06
GDP: Final consumption expenditure: Private (IRR bn)
3,208,428 4,505,167 5,262,427
5,656,000
6,236,000
7,032,000
3,899,000 (Q1-Q2)
GDP: Final consumption expenditure: Government (IRR bn)
713,990 868,334
1,160,266
1,301,000
1,700,000
1,952,000
1,134,000 (Q1-Q2)
GDP: Gross fixed capital formation, (IRR bn)
1,809,515 2,386,025 3,048,276
2,606,000
2,552,000
2,885,000
1,578,000 (Q1-Q2)
GDP: Exports, (lRR bn)
473,222 376,386 376,240 421,236 / /
GDP: Imports, (IRR bn)
449,701 345,821 281,210 265,210 / /
Source: CEIC; Central Bank of Iran
4.1​ Industrial production
Iranian president tasks officials with creating a “production boom” in face of US sanctions
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has tasked ministries and state bodies to pursue measures that will create a production boom and has ordered the removal of barriers to foreign investment that could be delivered by expatriate Iranians, Mehr News reported on May 20.
Iran’s economy is reeling from the unprecedented US sanctions regime aimed at everything from the automotive sector to oil, gas, petrochemicals, metals, banking and​ ​nuclear technology​, ​among many other areas. Foreign investment has plummeted with large players like Total and PSA Group exiting the country. The Islamic Republic finds itself sinking into a deeper and deeper recession. In April, the IMF predicted its economy would contract 6% this year—but that forecast was put together before the US, from May, started a campaign to drive Iran’s lifeline oil exports to zero. The road ahead could therefore be that much more torrid.
The president wants the scrapping of unnecessary and redundant regulations and the relaxation of rules for inward investment where possible.
Iran‘s Cultural Heritage, Handicrafts and Tourism Organisation (CHHTO) has been tasked with attracting more inbound visitors by whatever means are necessary and feasible.
Rouhani also called on agriculture officials to make the country more self-sufficient in the production of vegetables and meat. However, where imports are necessary to protect the population from shortages, they must be continued with, he added.
Iran’s industrial production index fell 0.5% in the third quarter of 2018, down from 6.5% y/y in the previous quarter and 5.7% y/y in the first quarter, ​CEIC data showed. Major industrial production includes oil, petrochemical products and automobiles
15​ IRAN Country Report​ March 2020 www.intellinews.com