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double to 10% of GDP this year
well as smaller wage remittances from Georgians abroad will result in the current account deficit widening to 10.1% of GDP this year from 5.1% in 2019. The gap would then narrow to 6.8% of GDP in 2021 under the Fund’s scenario. The country has only just consolidated a downward trend towards smaller external deficits, including via a moderate weakening of the Georgian lari. Thinner currency inflows are likely to re-ignite pressures on the local currency.
Georgia’s current account deficit shrunk by 25% y/y to $897mn in 2019. That accounted for 5.1% of the year’s GDP, the smallest value in absolute terms since 2005, according to data published by the country’s central bank under BPM5 methodology.
5.1.3 Capital flows
Private transfers to Georgia up 22% y/y in July
The July volume of money transfers from abroad to Georgia amounted to $188.7mn (Georgian lari, or GEL, 578.0mn), up 22.1% y/y.
The most important source of such transfers to Georgia remained Russia (21.4% of the total). Compared to July 2019, the transfers from Russia to
26 GEORGIA Country Report February 2021 www.intellinews.com