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4.2.2 PPI dynamics
Iran’s PPI up 53.9% y/y in 10th month of Persian year
The SCI announced that its analyses showed that the current PPI rate in the country stood at 53.9% in the 10th Persian calendar month. That indicates that Iran is entering hyperinflation territory.
This is in comparison to just an increase of 15.2% y/y in the fifth month of the 2018/2019 Persian calendar year (ended August 22).
The rise in the PPI can be partly ascribed to the severe devaluation of the Iranian rial (IRR) seen in recent months, with producers raising their prices to compensate for the feed-through into inflation.
4.3 Labour and income
4.3.1 Labour market, unemployment dynamics
Unemployment rate stood at 12.4% in last fiscal year
According to the Statistical Centre of Iran (SCI), the country’s unemployment rate in the last fiscal year (ended March 20) stood at 12.4%, 1.4% up on the previous year. Youth unemployment (covering the 15-29 age range), stood at 25.9%, 2.6% up y/y. Despite the many times the government has stressed the need to boost employment, overall youth unemployment has risen more than 5% in the past three years.
The minimum monthly salary in Iran stands at IRR9.3mn ($240), while the average monthly salary stands at IRR23.3mn ($617) per month, according to a report from the Financial Tribune on April 15. The report shows that living conditions in the country have improved following several years of a drop in the quality of life, due to the removal of sanctions.
The average Iranian earns IRR278.8mn ($7,416) per annum. However, the report noted the average family spends on average 262.3mn ($6,978) per year so little is made in savings. The report also added that the average household consists of 3.4 members and that families of four now account for 30.4% of the society. The majority of families (59.8%) have only one breadwinner. Housing costs account for the biggest slice of income expenditure.
17 IRAN Country Report March 2019 www.intellinews.com