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For Armenia, the ADB in June forecast a GDP contraction of 3.5%, but it is now expecting a 4% decline.
The forecast for Georgia remains unchanged, with a 5% GDP reversal expected.
The changed forecasting for inflation can be seen in the second of the ADB tables at the foot of this article.
4.0 Real Economy 4.1 Industrial production
Industrial production rises 8.4% y/y in 1Q20
Georgia’s industrial production increased 8.4% in the first quarter of 2020, easing from a 12.2% y/y rise in the fourth quarter last year, according to the National Statistics Office of Georgia.
Production expanded at a slower pace for manufacturing and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply sectors. Meanwhile, output rose in the mining and water supply and waste management sectors.
16 GEORGIA Country Report December 2020 www.intellinews.com