Page 33 - May 2018 Disruption Report Flip Book

EXPONENTIAL CHANGE IN 2018 JANMUAAYRY20128018
• Specialist hardware (think Google’s TPUs and others) and novel frameworks (TensorFlow and its competitors).
• Cloud-to-edge computing, as we deliver an increasingly large proportion of intelligence at the locality where it is needed.
• A new paradigm of software development (where the best developers nurture highly parameterized models and cajole the training data to feed them).
5. Artificial intelligence will be the technology investment priority for large firms. After years of prototypes, automation technologies and AI software now dominate the CIO’s agenda. They will invest and invest big. One group of winners will be the crop of 2013/2014 vintage AI startups now maturing into serious businesses with meaningful revenues and growing fast. The best firms, incumbent and startup, will combine AI investment with strategic and organizational change. Those same firms will move from simple notions of data supply chains to rethink their business model around data network effects and AI lock-in loops.
Firms that view AI not as a tool with which to expand their offerings but merely to cut costs will become lords of an ever-diminishing manor.
6. We will increasingly demonstrate how AI is augmenting human capabilities. We will see more evidence for the tangible benefits AI tools can give us individually, and we’ll increasingly witness the power of the AI-augmented human.
The collective efforts of the research community continue to impress us, especially
as we see low-hanging breakthroughs in areas outside of vanilla deep learning, such
as reinforcement learning, adversarial networks, one-shot learning, and unsupervised methods. (By the way, we’ll be barely any closer to human-like intelligence and no closer to artificial consciousness.)
7. The discussion on how AI will impact employment will shift from solely focusing on the elimination of jobs to how best to help workers accommodate the inevitable change.
Different countries will take different approaches. Those which combine an investment in social goods (like education and a safety net) and maintain a healthy approach to entrepreneurship and innovation will do best.
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