Page 17 - COVID 19 Efforts 31st DEC 2020
P. 17
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY EFFORTS ON COVID-19
BY
SCIENTIFIC AND ACADEMIC INSTITUTIONS
IISc develops multidimensional PDE-based model of Covid-19 infections
The team consisting of Prof. Sashikumaar Ganesan and Prof. Deepak Subramani of CDS at Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bengaluru has developed a model which is considered a paradigm shift in mathematical modelling of infectious diseases. It provides prediction of all India and state-wise confirmed, recovered, active and deceased COVID-19 cases based on the multi-dimensional PDE model. The prevalence estimates from serosurveys have been included in this model. The results of the model are based on various scenarios analysis. Moreover, the forecast range of all predicted scenarios can be viewed by enabling the uncertainty region in the time series plots. The region may be interpreted as the "Confidence Interval" for the forecast numbers.
Contact Info:
sashi@iisc.ac.in, deepakns@iisc.ac.in
Website Link:
https://cmg.cds.iisc.ac.in/covid/#home
13