Page 3 - bne Magazine February 2023

bne February 2023 Contents I 3
30 Green transition is $10.3 trillion opportunity for the global economy by 2050, new report finds
31 Renewables to overtake coal in electricity generation soon
COVER FEATURE
32 Running out of ammo
OUTLOOKS 2023
36 Central Europe and
the Baltic states 38 Poland
40 Russia
42 Ukraine
44 Southeast Europe
47 Turkey
48 Uzbekistan
49 Kazakhstan
CENTRAL EUROPE
50 Tide of Ukrainian refugees transforms Polish society
52 EU ambassadors reach megadeal on global minimum tax, Ukraine aid and Hungary’s RRF funds
53 Czech populist leader Andrej Babis found not guilty in EU subsidy fraud trial
SOUTHEAST EUROPE
54 Challenger to Erdogan to be named
55 Kick Turkey out of Nato? Members will start considering it, warns ex-commander
56 EU ministers agree to grant Bosnia candidate status
57 Turkish doctors’ chief convicted of terrorist propaganda amid claims army hit Kurds with chemical weapons
58 Bulgaria to hold new snap general election after parties fail to form government
59 Kosovo’s leaders to submit application for EU membership
EASTERN EUROPE
60 Ukraine fatigue builds, but Western support for Kyiv unlikely to falter soon
64 How companies in Central Asia help Belarus bypass Western sanctions
65 Russia reports its first “kraken” coronavirus case
66 The McDonald's question in Belarus
EURASIA
68 A middle class emerges in Central Asia
71 Emerging Europe’s greatest scams
75 Police raid on home of Mongolian rail official said to discover $2mn of cash in four currencies
77 Wrestling champ turned mayor grapples with tough challenges in Mongolia’s capital
78 Kazakhstan: One year
on from Bloody January, officials stick to their story
OPINION
80 What politics after Vucic will look like is Serbia’s billion- dollar question
83 Western banks go back to square one in CEE
88 What the Andrew Tate case says about corruption in Romania
64
71
80