Page 18 - bne IntelliNews Country Report: Iran Dec17
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The   large   increase   in   the   current   account   surplus   is   because   Iran   is   back   in   the spotlight   after   the   nuclear   deal   last   year,   attracting   more   foreign   direct investment   mostly   in   the   oil   sector.   Oil   exports   have   increased   significantly   due to   an   increase   in   oil   production   from   3.2   million   barrels   per   day   in   2015   to   3.7 million   in   2016   and   an   expected   4.2   million   in   2017,   the    Tehran   Times    reported on   April   21.
5.1.2    Import/export   dynamics
Trade   along   railway corridor   up   21.6%   in 9M
EU-Iran   trade   up 75%   y/y   in   8M
Turkey-Iran   trade   up 11%   y/y   in   H1
Trade   along   the   already-open   International   North-South   Transport Corridor   (INSTC)      has   increased   by   21.6%   in   the   first   nine   months   of   the current   Iranian   year,    according   to   a   report   by   Fars   News   Agency.   The   figures for   the   previous   nine-month   period   were   not   available.   To   hasten   trade between   the    countries    along   the   multi-national   railway   project,   Iran   announced on   September   18   that   it   would   slash   the   border   tariffs   by   50%,   according   to   the Iran   Railways   Company   (RAI)   at   the   time.
Bilateral   trade   between   the   European   Union   and   Iran   increased   more   than 75%   y/y   in   the   first   eight   months   of   2017,   according   to   Eurostat,   Mehr News   Agency   reported   on   October   22.    Following   the   dropping   of   crippling sanctions   imposed   against   Tehran   prior   to   the   implementation   of   the   nuclear deal   at   the   start   of   last   year,   European   companies   have   been   at   the   vanguard reviving   trade   links   with   Iran.   Memoranda   signed   by   European   enterprises   with Iranian   companies   and   other   entities   in   the   past   12   months   cover   potential business   worth   more   than   €50bn.
However,   problems   in   arranging   and   processing   banking   transactions   continue to   hamper   trade   and   investment   growth.   Many   large   established   banks   fear unilateral   US   sanctions   might   eventually   impact   on   them   if   they   get   into business   with   the   wrong   client   in   the   eyes   of   the   Trump   administration.
According   to   the   latest   figures,   Iran-EU   trade   stood   at   €13.6bn   for   January   to August,   compared   to   €7.5bn   in   the   same   period   of   2016.   The   Eurostat   report noted   that   EU   countries   imported   some   €6.5bn   of   items   from   Iran   in   the   period this   year,   mostly   consisting   of   oil   and   petrochemical   products   that   enjoyed 144%   growth   y/y.   EU   exports   to   the   Islamic   Republic,   meanwhile,   notched   up   a 37%   y/y   increase   to   €6.66bn   in   the   eight-month   period.   Sales   from   the   EU   to Iran   in   the   same   time   span   of   the   year   before   stood   at   €4.84bn.
Trade   between   Turkey   and   Iran   stood   at   around   $5.32bn   during   the   first half   of   2017,   11%   up   year   on   year,    Donyaye   Eqtesad    reported   on   August   7. In   total   Iran   exported   $3.78bn   worth   of   goods   to   Turkey   during   H1,   registering a   72%   rise   y/y.   Turkey   exported   $1.54bn   worth   of   goods   to   Iran,   marking   a 41%   decline   y/y.   Iranian   exports   to   Turkey   included   oil,   industrial   goods,   FMCG items   as   well   as   appliances.   Turkey   exported   items   to   Iran   such   as   clothing, automotive   parts   and   fully   assembled   vehicles.
Turkey   and   Iran   have   resolved   to   try   and   triple   annual   bilateral   trade   to more   than   $30bn,   Mehr   News   Agency   reported   on   October   6.    Currently   the trade   volume   officially   amounts   to   around   $10bn,   according   to   Turkey's    Daily Sabah .   The   ambitious   trade   target   was   announced   in   the   wake   of   Turkish President   Recep   Tayyip     Erdogan's   October   4   visit   to   meet   Iran's   president   and supreme   leader .   Relations   between   Tehran   and   Ankara   have   necessarily intensified   given   that   both   sides   find   themselves   opposed   to   the   push   by   Iraq's
18          IRAN   Country   Report    November   2017 www.intellinews.com


































































































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