Page 29 - Ecuador's Banana Sector under Climate Change

chapter 1: overview: a methodological framework - integrating climate adaptation and sustainability into agricultural sectors
Management Authority, Tea Board of Kenya, Tea Research Foundation of Kenya, Kenya Tea Development Agency Ltd., as well as representatives of large tea plantations, members of the Kenya Tea Growers Association, Kenya Meteorological Department and Kenya Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, among others.
7.2 Morocco’s fruit tree crops: mainstreaming climate adaptation within the Green Morocco Plan
In the case of Morocco, FAO’s pilot project aims to develop the methodology and tools necessary to mainstream climate adaptation for small-scale agriculture relating to Morocco’s fruit tree crops, especially within its agricultural investment programme: the Green Morocco Plan (GMP). Like many North African countries, Morocco is particularly vulnerable to climate change and its agriculture is expected to result in a major transformation. A three-dimensional impact assessment of the Tadla-Azilal agricultural zone was carried out, covering the biophysical, economic and socio-institutional aspects of the region.
The availability of water is a crucial concern for Morocco in terms of its future agricultural production and economic viability. The biophysical study focused on crop suitability under different climate scenarios, taking into account the local
soil types and the demand for water. A hydrological model, especially developed for the Tadla-Azilal zone, examined the demand and supply of water and future crop suitability under changing water supply levels owing, in large part, to climate change. The economic analysis included the two key concerns that are linked
to climate change impacts on Morocco’s agriculture. These are the (i) impact of climate change on future food supply variability and on food security in light of the investment and value chain priorities of the GMP; and (ii) trade-offs between agricultural intensification under the GMP and water use preservation and sustainability. The economic and biophysical analyses converge on the central issue of optimal use of water, given the changing climate conditions.
The socio-institutional evaluation included diagnostic studies that targeted small-scale farmers to evaluate their degree of participation in nationally supported investment programmes and to assess the scope for integrating climate adaptation into their agricultural systems. A socio-institutional analysis was made to examine the nature of governance, linking the government officials who manage the GPM to the smallholder farmers targeted by the investment programmes. This was done in an effort to develop the diagnostic tools to improve vertical (between government and small-scale farmers) and horizontal (greater coordination between agencies) governance to improve the enabling environment for the adoption of climate- adaption techniques and ensure more resilient institutional arrangements.
7.3 Ecuador’s banana sector: improving climate resiliency and sustainability
In the case of Ecuador’s banana sector, biophysical and economic studies were performed simultaneously to evaluate the scope for transitioning the sector into
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