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Challenges Facing the South Korean Electoral System - 2024

                                 Col Grant Newsham, USMC (ret.), President of KCPAC
                        Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Security Policy in Washington, DC
                             Senior Research Fellow at the Japan Forum for Strategic Studies



               Introduction: What’s at Stake

               On December 4th, 2024, Republic of Korea (ROK) President Yoon Suk-yeol declared martial
               law. It seemed to come out of nowhere and took many by surprise – apart from those who
               have been following what’s happening to the Korean electoral system.
               As a result of years of unusual election results and a lack of transparency about the
               mechanics of the electoral system itself, there has been persistent degradation of trust in free
               and fair elections in the country. Those trying to investigate are targeted. The judiciary won’t
               preside over cases. Governance has become difficult. The result is a country on the edge, with
               malign actors - including North Korea and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) - gaining
               influence. What’s going on in Korea can happen in any democratic country where elections
               are not secure.

               An electoral system in a free country needs to be carefully watched and tended. Failure to do
               so will eventually shake the underpinnings of even the strongest nations – even those with
               seemingly solid democratic institutions, processes and traditions.
               Once public trust in the democratic process for transferring power and selecting and
               changing a government – i.e. the electoral process – erodes, so does the cohesion of the
               nation itself. This disintegration is even worse when a political group subverts the electoral
               process in order to gain political power for itself.
               This dynamic has played out over the last seven years in the Republic of Korea.



               Background
               President Yoon Suk-yeol warned of North Korean supporters in the opposition in his
               statement announcing and justifying martial law on December 4 , 2024.
                                                                              th
               He is right. There is a sizable chunk of South Korea's Democratic Party (DP) and leftist
               political world that is openly pro-North Korea - and also pro-China. They are also anti-
               American.

               South Korean leftists have long wanted a one-party state that they control. They have sought
               to dominate the levers of power beyond the government – to include labor unions, academia,
               media, the judiciary, among others.
               But the main target has been the government, and in particular the National Assembly.
               Unlike in the United States, where a president has considerable power even if the opposition
               holds both houses, in the South Korean system the National Assembly can make life nearly
               impossible for a president. Given its power vis-a-vis the executive branch, the National
               Assembly is arguably a more attractive target than even the presidency in South Korea.

               Over the past several years, the Democratic Party (DP) has been allegedly manipulating the
               electoral system to obtain power and establish a one-party state. A key part of the strategy
               has been taking dominant control of the National Assembly which would allow them to
               support a sympathetic president (creating an effective one-party state) or handcuff an
               opposition President – blocking his ability to govern and causing chaos in the country.





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