Page 28 - August-2020-Issue
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ARTICLE



              monetary loss every day we                                      2020,  now    crippled  again.
              are doing away with. COVID-19    The government has left        Automobile sector is amongst
              is eating away a meal of         no stone unturned to do        the heavily burnt lot, with not
              whopping   Rs.40,000  cr  ev-                                   just  drastic  cut in employment
              eryday from  the India’s  eco-   whatever best possible to      due to low sales, but also due to
              nomic  platter.  But  I  feel,  steel   curb this virus and stabilize   the lowered spending capacity
              will  have  better  days  in  India                             pre and post lockdown.
              ahead. Manufacturing here will   the economy. Banks will        Recovery looks to start with ser-
              increase  because  it will be a   now have more genuine         vices, moving to manufacturing.
              more  preferred destination than                                First thing would be to organise
              China for the world market.      borrowers than NPA’s. Aim      the supply chain. With slow con-
              Impact is worse on public        is to keep financial systems   sumption post lockdown,  it will
              sector  enterprises  undeniably,                                start taking  shape.  A tougher
              because  of  the  better  labour   sound, so that it can flow   aspect is, when the production
              law compliance, besides the      across the pyramid, from       will resume, how will we replace
              motto being social welfare along                                the migrant labourers who have
              with  profit  compared  to  private   top to lowest level. RBI   gone back? After suffering worse,
              sector,  where  the  sole  motto  is   Governor has cut the reverse   many left to die, treading to their
              profit.  Tourism,  which  accounts                              homes post countless efforts, will
              for  about  10%  of  India’s  GDP   repo rate to 3.75% from     they return this easy and quick? It
              is  starving.  Even  in  the  private   4%, also Rs. 50,000 crore   is depressing, but a major portion
              sector or individual businesses,                                of people won’t return to metros
              be it hospitality, retail sector,   LTRO has been announced,    in search of work. No wonder,
              tourism,   all   are   shattered.   our finance minister has    many  industries  may  shift to
              Hospitality  is  about  to  lose                                smaller pockets soon.
              Rs.30,000  crore  revenue,  15-20   assured every possible relief   The government has left no
              lac job loss,  how will we come   but since we are a hundred    stone  unturned to do  whatever
              up  with  all  this?  Hospitality                               best possible to curb this virus
              will witness continued decline,   million plus population, the   and stabilize the economy. Banks
              since people’s will, will decline                               will now have more genuine bor-
              to tour and travel, not just     question is for how long can   rowers than NPA’s.  Aim  is  to
              because of the recent fear fall,   we sustain? How much can     keep  financial  systems  sound,
              but also because many have had                                  so  that  it  can  flow  across  the
              a long holiday break at home     the private players, public    pyramid, from top to lowest
              and many will have sheer stress   sector undertakings and       level. RBI Governor has cut
              on  resources.  For  the  retail  in-                           the  reverse  repo  rate  to  3.75%
              dustry, be it  jewellery  or cloth-  the government uphold      from  4%,  also  Rs.  50,000  crore
              ing, March, April, May were the   in a scenario when no one     LTRO has been  announced, our
              main  seasons.  The  entire wed-                                finance  minister  has  assured
              ding season of about  Rs. 10000   knows, how long will it take   every possible relief but since
              crore has failed for the textile   to contain and what impact   we are a hundred  million  plus
              market. The  stocks  were piled                                 population, the question is for
              up for the wedding season, await-  it will make?                how  long  can  we  sustain?  How
              ing hordes of customers,  not                                   much  can  the private players,
              knowing  a complete shutdown.                                   public sector  undertakings and
              Economic  shock  means  millions  time when the  nation needs  to  the government  uphold  in  a
              of losses  at every individual  save, on every resource. Globally,  scenario  when no one knows,
              level. Think of the billions of  stock  markets  have  crashed  how long  will it  take  to contain
              daily wagers, small entrepre-   by a third or more,  real estate  and  what  impact  it  will  make?
              neurs, or self employed lot,  on its last legs was hoping  Especially  when  people  are
              service  agencies. This  is the  to stand back  on its feet  in  not mending their ways, a large


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              28    KaleidOscope  May, 2020KaleidOscope  May, 2020
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