Page 19 - Caribbean-Central America Profile 2018
P. 19

REGIONAL



                                       CARIBBEAN-CENTRAL AMERICA PROFILE 2018



                                           MANUFACTURING

        The  manufacturing industry remains at  the   United States, the world’s second largest motor   of domestic production and export patterns that
        centre of technological innovation, international   vehicle market. Today, 80% of Mexico’s motor   would allow investment to become an engine of
        trade growth and economic expansion.  The   vehicle production is exported and 86% of these   growth.  In order to harness trade as a driving
        countries of Latin America and the Caribbean   exports go to  Canada  and  the  United  States.   force of growth not only for the manufacturing
        face significant challenges to further industrial   Mexico has thus, become the world’s seventh   sector  but also natural  resource-based  ones
        development, particularly because of the weak   largest supplier and the fourth largest exporter.  and services, Latin America and the Caribbean
        implementation  of structural  change  policies                           should adopt more proactive,  forward-looking
        that could boost modern and high productivity   The outlooks for Mexico’s motor vehicle industry   national policies, concurrent with the rapidly
        sectors. Political events, such as the referendum   will depend on at least two independent sets of   changing world marketplace,  under a strong
        in the United Kingdom which resulted in the   factors. On the one hand is the transformation   alliance between the public and private sectors.
                                             driven by the technology revolution under way
        vote to leave the European Union (Brexit) and   in the global automotive industry, changes in the   In terms of exports, the economies of Central
        the presidential  election  in the United  States,
        reflected  trends that had developed over time   concept of mobility and consumptions patterns,   American and Caribbean countries are mostly
        in  global  production  and  trade.  Developed   and regulatory pressure in the fields of safety,   geared  toward raw material,  particularly
        economies  have been more interested  in   the environment and energy efficiency. On the   agricultural  goods such as fruit, coffee and
                                             other hand, is the uncertainty triggered by the
                                                                                  sugar. However, there  are  also some low-end
        repatriating  production, which together with   announcements of the new  Administration in   manufacturing  exporters of products such as
        the rapid technological  transition and greater
        competitive pressure, has redirected businesses   the United States.      textiles, processed foods and electronics. Many
        towards more technology-intensive markets.  Both Mexico and Canada have given their   Caribbean and Central  America governments
                                             support  for updating  NAFTA, which  was   have made strides towards developing outward-
        Over previous decades, manufacturing became                               oriented,  niche market,  and export-based
        markedly global, with many operations moved   adopted 23 years ago, and have indicated a desire   strategies to increase competitiveness  and to
        from  advanced  economies  to  developing   to preserve the regional automotive production   achieve internationally accepted best practices.
        economies to cut costs. This paradigm has been   chains. Although the United States has afforded   Many of the Caribbean’s production and exports
        called into question recently, however, by both   emphasis thus far to regulatory  issues, the   are still based on preferential access to markets.
                                             negotiations on tariffs and rules of origin will
        firms and governments, and manufacturing has
        gained  increasing importance  as a source of   be crucial  in reaching  a new agreement.  In   This is so whether it is sugar, bananas and rum
        productive linkages, scientific and technological   this framework, any major changes to the   to the European Union (EU) market under the
        capabilities and innovation in domestic economies.   existing  trade  preferences  could  significantly   Lomé  Convention; beef, rum and tobacco  to
                                             upset production and supplier chains in North   the United States under the Caribbean Basin
        This is seen more so in the automotive   America.                         Initiative (CBI); or a range of commodities to
        industry as it is in the throes of far-reaching   In the Caribbean, the deceleration in 2016   Canada under CARIBCAN. The market is now
        transformation and is becoming a catalyst and   reflected a modest slowdown in the Dominican   the major shaper of the prospects and fortunes
        driver of major technological  and productive   Republic, the largest economy in the region,   of countries.
        changes. Although vehicle manufacturers have   on the completion of construction projects and   Despite regional efforts to deepen integration
        been  leading  this process for many decades,   weakening manufacturing growth. Contraction
        suppliers of parts, components and accessories   in  several  commodity-exporting  countries   through the  CARICOM Single  Market  and
        have recently become increasingly important in   namely Belize, Suriname and  Trinidad and   Economy  and strengthen  trade  relations  with
        the  production  chain,  powering  technological   Tobago also contributed  to the deceleration.   existing and non-traditional  partners, the
                                                                                  Region’s competitiveness  remains  constrained
        development.                         However. Momentum picked up in the second
                                             half of 2016, and the outlook for advanced   by poor infrastructure and connectivity, weak
        Although North  America remains one of the   economies has improved for 2017–18.   institutions, undiversified export markets,
        three main hubs of the global automotive   Better  growth prospects in  the  United  States,   and low levels  of private  sector  innovation.
        industry, it  has lost  ground over the  past  few   Europe, and Japan reflect  some rebound in   According to IDB estimates,  CARICOM is
        decades.  Among the member  countries of   manufacturing and trade, as well as prospects of   operating on average 46 percent below its trade
        the  North American  Free  Trade Agreement   likely U.S. fiscal stimulus.  potential.  In addition, intra-regional trade in the
        (NAFTA),  however, Mexico has gained in   Irrespective of growing manufactured exports,   Caribbean stands at a relatively low 13 percent
        stature:  by virtue of intensive  investment,  it   the Latin  American  economies  have not   of total trade; this increases to just over 20
        has become one of the leading suppliers to the                            percent if exports to Latin America are included.
                                             experienced the kind of dynamic restructuring










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