Page 22 - Anuário Estatístico da Companhias Abertas 2017/2018

Retrospectiva Retrospective
apenas melhor do que a Venezuela (-7,4%) e o Equador (-1,6%). O melhor desempenho deve vir da Bolívia, com crescimento de 4%, seguido pelo Peru (3,5%) e Paraguai (3,3%).
PAÍS PODE VOLTAR PARA
A 8a POSIÇÃO NO RANKING MUNDIAL
A previsão da retomada do crescimento econômico em 2017 e a freada da alta do dólar nos últimos meses, segundo o FMI, podem levar o Brasil a voltar a ser o oitavo maior PIB global. No ano passado, o país caiu para a nona colocação, reflexo da recessão econômica iniciada em 2014. O Fundo prevê que o Brasil vai ultrapassar a Itália e permanecer como oitava economia do mundo até 2021.
Em 2011, o Brasil chegou a alcançar o posto de sexta maior economia mundial, ultrapassando o Reino Unido. O título foi festejado em Brasília em um período em que as economias ricas como a britânica ainda tentavam se desvencilhar do pior momento da crise de 2008.
WORST PERFORMANCE AMONG THE BRICS
The result of Brazilian economic activity was also poor compared with most countries of the Brics group – the largest emerging economies in the world. China grew by 6.7%, India by 6.8% and South Africa by 0.3% while Brazil recorded a loss of -3.6% accompanied by Russia with -0.2%. As for Latin American countries, Brazil’s performance was not worse than Venezuela’s, which closed 2016 with a GDP drop of 18%.
As for 2017, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) report, released in April, predicts that Brazil should grow by 0.2% and 1.7% by 2018. If the forecast is confirmed, Brazil will grow less than the average of the South American countries in 2017 (0.6%) – performance only better than Venezuela (-7.4%) and Ecuador (-1.6 %). The best performance should come from Bolivia, with growth of 4%, followed by Peru (3.5%) and Paraguay (3.3%).
COUNTRY CAN RETURN TO THE 8TH POSITION IN WORLD RANKING
The prediction of the resumption of economic growth in 2017 and the brake of the dollar’s rise in recent months, according to the IMF, may lead Brazil to become again the eighth largest Global GDP. Last year, the country dropped to ninth place, reflecting the economic recession started in 2014. The Fund predicts that Brazil will overtake Italy and remain as the world’s eighth largest economy by 2021.
In 2011, Brazil reached the position of the sixth largest economy in the world, surpassing the United Kingdom. The title was celebrated in Brasília, at a time when rich economies like the British one were still trying to get rid of the worst moment of the 2008 crisis.
PIB Brasileiro X Posição em relação à economia mundial
Brazilian GDP X Position in relation to the global economy
Ano
Year
PIB (R$ bilhões)
GDP (R$ billion)
Crescimento (%)
Growth (%)
Posição
Position
2016
6.266
-3,60%
8a
2015
5.904
-3,80%
9a
2014(*)
5.521
0,10%
7a
2013
5.157
2,70%
7a
2012
4.713
1,80%
7a
2011
4.143
2,70%
6a
2010
3.675
7,50%
7a
2009
3.143
-0,30%
8a
2008
3.032
5,20%
8a
2007
2.558
6,10%
10a
2006
2.370
4,00%
10a
2005
2.148
3,20%
10a
Fonte: IBGE. (*) O IBGE fez os cálculos de 2014 com base em uma nova metodologia internacional, adotada por diversos países, e também revisou os dados do PIB nos dois anos anteriores. Em 2012, a taxa passou de 1% para 1,8%. Em 2013, de 2,5% para 2,7%.
Source: IBGE. (*) The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) based the 2014 calculations on a new international methodology adopted in several countries, and also revised the GDP rate for the two prior years. In 2012, the rate increased from 1% to 1.8%. In 2013, from 2.5% to 2.7%.
7.000 6.000 5.000 4.000 3.000 2.000 1.000
0
2005
10,00% 8,00% 6,00% 4,00% 2,00% 0,00%
-2,00% -4,00% -6,00%
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
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