Page 54 - Green Builder May-June 2020 Issue
P. 54

Buyer’s optimism. Almost half of the consumers who planned to buy a house before the coronavirus
                                                 pandemic are sticking with their plans now that COVID-19 is here. CREDIT: ADENE SANCHEZ/ISTOCK
       Home-                                     BY GREEN BUILDER STAFF
                                                              OST ECONOMISTS AGREE
                                                              that we’re heading for a
                                                              recession. Some project
       buyers                                    M with a steep tumble in 2Q
                                                              a “short but sharp” event,
                                                 20 and a quick rebound in subsequent quar-
       Shift                                     ters. Others forecast a longer downturn, with
                                                 more dramatic impacts felt throughout the
                                                 rest of the year.
                                                   The housing market has proven to be   CREDIT: ULZA/ISTOCK
       Priorities                                somewhat resilient to pandemics—when
                                                 the stock market is suffering, investors look
                                                 for safer places to put their money, such as   Enjoying clean air. Exceptional indoor air quality will
                                                 bonds and real estate.               be one of the first things consumers expect when
       Pandemic or no,                           housing market was expected to be vibrant   buying a home, making ventilation systems one of the
                                                   Prior to the coronavirus outbreak, the
                                                                                      first things on builders’ “must include” lists.
       people still want to                      in 2020—while supply is short, demand   the housing market for months to come, CE
                                                 has been high due to low unemployment,
                                                                                      notes.
                                                                                        Not everyone agrees with the dire num-
       buy homes—but                             solid wage growth, low mortgage rates, and   bers. In a survey by Homes.com, nearly half
                                                 high property confidence. But this pandemic
       they expect more                          is different—it’s the first one that can be   of its 1,000 respondents who planned to buy
                                                                                      a home before the pandemic are continu-
                                                 followed online, and news of COVID-19,
                                                 good or bad, real or fake, is easier to come   ing the effort. Seventy-five percent of those
       health and safety for                     by. That will contribute to a projected 35   conducting their house hunting online
                                                 percent drop in sales this quarter, and a   want to continue, coronavirus or not. Sell-
       their money.                              decades-low 4 million home sales, according   ers are in a similar position, with close to
                                                 to financial research firm Capital Econom-  half who started selling before COVID-19
                                                 ics (CE). The stay-at-home mandate and sky-  keeping their homes on the market. Also,
                                                 rocketing unemployment since mid-March   only 1 in 4 report suffering from a lack of
                                                 are likely to also have a negative impact on   traffic. This finding is echoed by a similar


            48  GREEN BUILDER May/June 2020                                                        www.greenbuildermedia.com
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