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6                                                                                                                    durhamcitizen.ca                                                                                              August 31, 2021

       EDITORIAL                               “      The biggest risk is to those who are not vaccinated at present.
                                                      So if you’re a parent of younger children, please consider getting vaccinated.”
                                                      - Dr. Kieran Moore, Ontario’s chief medical officer.







           HARD TRUTHS ABOUT
           HARD TRUTHS ABOUT
           HARD TR       UTHS AB       OUT
                    ENING S
              E
                                           S
           R REOPENING SCHOOLS
           REOPENING SCHOOLS
               OP
                                CHOOL
                                                                                          USA took
                                                                                          Four Presidents,
            Given the growing concerns about school
            reopenings in less than two weeks, it’s
            useful to remember the reason for closing                                     Thousands of Lives,
            them in mid-March, along with other
            lockdown measures, because of COVID-                                          Trillions of Dollars and
            19. It was to slow the spread of the                  TALIBAN                                                           TALIBAN
            coronavirus so that hospitals wouldn’t be
            overwhelmed with COVID-19 patients.                                           20 Years to replace
            It was not to eliminate COVID-19
            completely, because that’s impossible,                                        the Taliban with...
            without an effective vaccine. Logically, as
            schools reopen in September, there will be                                     the Taliban.
            a rise in COVID-19 cases.                                                                                     Ruskin
            The good news is with infection rates now                                                                     August 31
            relatively low compared to the height of
            the pandemic, it will be easier to isolate
            and contain the outbreaks that do occur.
            But it will not be possible to keep the
            infection rate to zero.
            To expect that is to make the perfect the
            enemy of the good.                                    Trump's deal with the Taliban set
            No measures can eliminate 100% of the
            risk. But these risks must be weighed
            against keeping schools closed in terms of            the stage for the Afghan collapse
            the deterioration of students’ learning
            skills and their mental well-being.
            There is also the economic need for many
            parents, who have been caring for their
            children at home, to return to work.
                                                                  istory will mark Aug. 15, 2021,                          They  balked  at  starting  negotiations
                                                                  as  the date  that  the Afghan                           until  December,  and  even  then,  had
                                                           Hgovernment  collapsed  and                                     zero incentive to make any concessions
            The biggest risk is to those who
                                                           the  Taliban  retook  control  over  this                       since  Trump  had already announced
            are not vaccinated at present.                 troubled and war-torn country. But the                          that there would be only 2,500 troops
            The fourth wave is fuelled by the              real date that the Taliban’s victory was                        in  Afghanistan  by  the  time  he  left
            “unvaccinated amongst us”: recent              assured is Feb. 29, 2020, the day the                           office,  the  smallest  U.S.  force  in  20
                                                                                                     n
                                                                                                   i
                                                                                                p
                                                                                                            n
                                                                                                         o
                                                                                                        i
                                                                                            Opinion
            data from Ontario shows that                   Trump administration signed what it   O O p i n i o n           years. It was clear to the Taliban that
                                                           characterized as a “peace” deal with the                        the Americans were quickly headed for
            unvaccinated individuals are 29
                                                           Taliban.  Once  this  agreement  was                            the exits.
            times more likely to be hospitalized           signed  —  the  tragic  collapse  we   by David Schanzer        When the fighting season began again
            and 48 times more likely to be a               w i t n e s s e d   t h i s  we e ke n d   w a s                this year, the only hope for the Afghan
            patient in the ICU.                            inevitable.                                                     government was to show that it could
                                                           Of course, the agreement was not, and   to the table, undercut the power and   stand  up  to  the  Taliban  even  with
            So if you’re a parent of younger
                                                           could not possibly have been, a “peace”   legitimacy  of  the  government.  The   reduced  American  support  to  gain
            children, please consider getting
                                                           deal since one of the parties currently   citizenry,  including  those  in  the   leverage at  the  bargaining  table.  But
            vaccinated.”                                   at war — the Afghan government —   national  armed  services  and  police,   results  on  the  ground  were  just  the
                      - Dr. Kieran Moore, Ontario’s        was not a signatory. Rather, this was a   could  plainly  see  that  its  own   opposite.  The  Taliban  gobbled  up
                             chief medical officer.          “withdrawal” agreement between the   government  was  being  ignored,  a   territory more quickly than it had in
                                                           U.S. and the Taliban that set the terms   helpless  bystander  in  critical   years.  As  the  Taliban’s  power
                                                           for  the  complete  departure  of   discussions about the country’s future.   increased,  it  had even  less reason  to
            It’s unfortunate that in some provinces -      American troops from Afghanistan by   After  we  had  cut  the  legs  out  from   engage in peace negotiations.
            Ontario  for example - the adversarial         May 2021.                       under this government and rendered it   To stem the Taliban’s momentum on
            relationship between the government,           What  did  the  United  States  gain  in   a paper tiger, it is no wonder that when   the  ground  this  spring,  the  Biden
            teacher unions and school boards, has led      exchange  for  this  withdrawal,  for   those serving in the Afghan army and   administration would have had to not
            to a lack of certainty for parents with        which the Taliban had been fighting   police were asked to fight, most said,   only abrogate the Trump withdrawal
            regard to school reopenings.                   for  20  years?  Nothing  but  vague,   “No, thanks.”           agreement but also deploy more troops
            This broken relationship existed long          unenforceable  promises  that  the   The  agreement  also  did  absolutely   and get them more deeply involved in
            before the COVID-19 pandemic.                  Taliban would not engage in hostilities   nothing  to  attempt  to  bring  about  a   the fighting. This would have breached
            It has led to a situation where the            against the departing U.S. troops and   peaceful  settlement  of  the  war   Biden’s campaign commitment to end
            provincial medical officer of health says        would  “send  a  clear  message”  to  al   between the Afghan government and   the war in Afghanistan and ran against
            the province’s plan to reopen schools is       Qaeda  that  it  “had  no  place”  in   the  Taliban.  A  genuine  peace  deal   the  strong  bipartisan  public  support
            safe, the teacher unions disagree and          Afghanistan.  So  eager  Trump  was  to   would  have  made  our  withdrawal   for withdrawal.
            school boards are making major decisions       withdraw, we did not even hold out for   contingent  on  the  progress  of  peace   The  Taliban  reads  statements  from
            at the eleventh hour that should have          a  clear,  firm  commitment  that  the   negotiations  between  the  Afghan   American  politicians  and  likely
            been made months ago.
                                                           Taliban  would  not  provide  aid,  safe   government and the Taliban. But it did   watches poll numbers. They could not
            This is enormous stress for parents.
                                                           harbor or weaponry to al Qaeda and   not. Trump agreed unconditionally to   have  been  surprised  when,  in  April,
            But the reality is schools cannot remain
                                                           like-minded  groups.  The  agreement   bring down U.S. troop levels to 8,600   Biden  reaffirmed  the  American
            closed indefinitely.
                                                           c o n t a i n e d   n o   e n f o r c e m e n t   by mid-July 2020 and totally withdraw   commitment to a complete withdrawal
            Parents - who are the best people to make
                                                           mechanisms  and  included  no   by May 2021.                    of troops, albeit on a somewhat slower
            the decision - now have to decide whether
                                                           penalties on the Taliban for failing to   The  agreement  anticipated  there   timetable.
            to return their children to school, or
                                                           comply with its terms.          would  be  peace  negotiations,  but  in   The Taliban knew it had won the war
            continue to care for them at home,
                                                           Once the agreement was signed, the   August,  Trump  voluntarily  cut  troop   once  Biden’s  predecessor  had  signed
            making use of whatever online learning
                                                           fate  of  the  Afghan  government  was   levels  down  to  4,500,  even  more   the  troop  withdrawal  agreement  —
            programs will be available.
                                                           signed,  sealed  and  delivered  —  the   quickly  than  required  by  the   now it was only a matter of time.
            It’s far from an ideal situation.
                                                           Taliban  had  practically won  the war.   agreement, even though negotiations
            But the only viable way forward is to
                                                           There was no way that the government   had not even begun. This was a clear
            reopen schools, react quickly to outbreaks
                                                           could possibly survive.         signal  there  would  be  no  linkage   David Schanzer is a professor of
            of COVID-19 that do occur, and be
                                                           The fact that the United States entered   between  withdrawals  and  peace,   public policy at the Sanford School of
            prepared to lock down schools again if
                                                           into  negotiations  and  then  an   contrary to what U.S. diplomats were   Public Policy at Duke University and
            infections spike unacceptably.
                                                           agreement with the Taliban, without   telling  the  parties.  This  signal  was   the director of the Triangle Center on
                                                           even inviting the Afghan government   received loud and clear by the Taliban.   Terrorism and Homeland Security.
                           Dur  am
                           z   e        tel: 416-301-9154                  Ruskin Ramsundar      CEO/Publisher     Courtney McLaren     Digital Media
                                        email: ruskin@durhamcitizen.ca
                                                                           Sylvan Naidoo                             CFO
                                                                                                                   Gerard Richardson    Photographer
                                                  ruskinwr@aol.com
                                                                                                                   Robert Ranjitsingh    Photographer
                                                                           Riyad Mohammed    Associate Editor
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