Page 18 - World Airnews Magazine May 2021 Edition
P. 18

AFRICA



































                                  AFRICA READY FOR


                                  RIGHT-SIZED FLEETS



                                                                                        By Bernie Baldwin

                                           not breakthrough in Africa, the company   Congo Airways for two E190-E2s and two

                                           does have examples of substantial fleets   E195-E2s.

          t may not yet be considered a mature   being successfully operated by carriers,   At Airbus, one of the reasons why Mikail
       Iaviati on market, but Africa is expected   such as Airlink and Kenya Airways.   Houari, president, Airbus Africa and
        to be a huge area for growth in aircraft   “The pre-owned market is very relevant   Middle East, believes that his company’s



        acquisition during the 2020s. One of the   in Africa, probably more than anywhere   offering in the crossover jet segment – the
                                           else in the world, and when we consider

        features of that growth is likely to be the   that, we see significant penetration for the   A220 pairing – will sell better than RJs is


        ability of carriers to move straight to a   segment,” he remarks.      because right from the onset, the A220 was


        right-sized fleet.                   “We believe crossover narrowbody   designed specifically to address the market
         The classic narrowbody workhorses of   jets will continue to fare better in the   gap between RJs and single-aisles, with a




        the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737 families   market, primarily because it is a region   fuselage cross-section optimised to address
                                                                               the 100-to-150 seat market.
        have led the way for many years, and   with important inefficiencies to be



        understandably so. However, below their   overcome. For example, 66% of the total   “In Africa, the potential market for


        capacity level, there has arguably been less   ASKs (available seat kilometres) are flown   the A220 is a combination of aircraft

        structure in carriers’ fleets.     by aircraft with more than 150 seats, but   replacement (new replacing old), growth



                                                                               (upsizing from smaller aircraft) and new
         With the advent of the crossover   more than half of those flights (55%) have

        narrowbody jets such as the Airbus A220   fewer than 130 passengers per day (PPDs).   operators,” Houari explains. “From the
                                                                               Ascend April 2021 database, we identify a

        family and Embraer E-Jets (at present, of   So it is clear that those large narrowbodies   potential market of around 450 aircraft:



        course, in their second generation, the E2   are being sub-optimally, and expensively,

        family), the gap has been filled between   deployed,” Galhardo adds.    Replacement of older regional jets (CRJ,

        those workhorses and regional jets and   “This leads to other issues for the region:   E-Jet E1s, Avro, Fokker)- approximately 50

        turboprops.                        low frequencies for domestic and intra-  aircraft.

         In fact, despite their ability to fly   regional flights, leading to poor network   Replacement of older single-aisles


        reasonably lengthy sectors, regional jets   connectivity; low load factors – on average,   (737-300/-400/-500/-700, A319, A320) -

        never sold in big numbers across Africa.   the lowest in the world according to IATA;   approximately 250 aircraft

        Although the current number of crossover   and thus low profitability. We strongly   Potential upsizing from smaller regional


        narrowbody jets across the continent is   believe crossover narrowbodies are the   jets (ERJs, CRJs, Fokkers) - approximately


        still relatively small, there is considerable   right-sized to address those issues,” he   150 aircraft.



        optimism for sales figures much bigger than   emphasises.               “The A220 is ideally positioned to address

        the RJs achieved.                    The strategy director such a trend   this market, not just in terms of size, but
         Daniel Galhardo, director of strategy,   is under way for Embraer aircraft with   also with regards to its unique product



        Embraer Commercial Aviation,       Nigeria’s Air Peace having firm orders for   characteristics,” Houari claims.


        acknowledges that although in terms of   13 new E195-E2s, deliveries of have already   “It offers true single-aisle comfort as

        new aircraft sale numbers, regional jets did   begun, as well as four firm orders from   well as the highest baggage and cargo

                                                   World Airnews | May 2021
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