Page 26 - AASBO EDGE 2020 WINTER
P. 26

LEGISLATIVE WORKSHOP

        BY DON HARRIS

        Budget Expert says Arizona’s Economy Looks Solid in 2020

        – Good News for Education



        Arizona’s economic outlook appears rosy and funding for   quickly as possible,” Gress said.
        K-12 schools is a priority of Gov. Doug Ducey, but fi scal
        restraint is  necessary to be  ready for  another inevitable   In addition, the state bought back state buildings that had
        downturn.                                               been mortgaged during the Great Recession and improved
                                                                its credit rating, has seen a 40% reduction in debt service
        That was the optimistic, but measured, forecast of Matthew   charges, and now funds school capital needs on a cash basis,
        Gress,  Director  of  the  Governor’s  Offi ce  of  Planning  &   Gress said.
        Budgeting in a presentation November 15  at the annual
        Legislative  Workshop  sponsored  by ASBA, AASBO  and     “An overview of the General
        ASA.
                                                                  Fund shows the largest-ever
        Gress said Ducey’s vision for Arizona is to have it be the
        No. 1 state in country to live and work, for recreation and   cash reserves and the third
        education,  to start  a business, and to provide clarity  to   structurally balanced budget
        businesses and citizens regarding the kind of administration
        they’re getting under Ducey’s leadership.  The governor   in a row and $1 billion in the
        favors “government at the speed of business, which means   Rainy Day Fund”
        decide faster, respond faster, resolve faster, add more services
        online, and save tax dollars,” Gress said.
                                                                Referring to 2019 changes in the tax code, he said: “Thanks
                                                                to the opportunity created by the federal tax reform, Arizona
        “We’re doing really well,” he added.
                                                                last year was able to enact a comprehensive modernization
                                                                of the tax code. We reduced and simplifi ed income taxes,
        An  overview of the General Fund shows  the largest-ever
        cash reserves and the third structurally balanced budget in a   eliminating exemptions, reducing brackets, and cutting rates
        row and $1 billion in the Rainy Day Fund, Gress said, noting   by a total of over $300 million.”
        the situation stems from “a booming economy as well as
        fi scal restraint.”                                     In addition,  Arizona applied  the sales tax to out-of-state
                                                                businesses, which stopped “the revenue loss created by the
                                                                e-commerce revolution, offsetting our income tax cuts, and
        Forecasts indicate  the  economy  will  continue  to do very
        well. Businesses and individuals are continuing to come   providing a stable and fair consumption tax-based future,”
        to Arizona seeking opportunity, a better quality of life and   he said.
        a business-friendly climate, Gress said. “Over 200 people
        move to Arizona every day,” he said, adding that many of the   As  the economy expands, there are more jobs, more
        new residents come from California.                     employees and more people paying taxes. At the same time,
                                                                infl ation is moderating. Arizona has strong manufacturing
                                                                growth, retail  overall  is seeing a positive  trend, and the
        Some  300,000  jobs  have  been  created  in  Arizona  since
        Ducey took offi ce in 2015, Gress said. “Our view is, we need   state will continue to see strong growth in connection with
        to sustain this – keeping our talent here and recruiting new   Mexico, our largest trading partner, Gress said.
        talent,” he said.
                                                                “We’re in a really good spot that we haven’t seen in nearly
                                                                two decades,” Gress said.
        “Arizona continues  to  outperform national economy and
        is well ahead of national peers. Arizona is retiring debt as                        CONTINUED ON PAGE 28



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        26                                                                              THE EDGE   WINTER 2020
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