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Confidence Yes, Overconfidence No

          able to cope with the severity of their winter, whereas
          the severe  cold  of  that region  proved  to  be  fatal for
          Napoleon’s  army. The extreme cold  accompanied  by
          hailstorms caused most of the French soldiers to perish
          even before entering Moscow.
             The same happened with Adolf Hitler, the dictator
          of Germany. It was his belief that he was destined for
          success. He thought he was invincible. Deluded by this
          obsession, he invaded Russia in the winter of 1941. His
          army too was caught up in a hailstorm and was crushed
          at Stalingrad. Over-confidence  generally leads people
          into misadventures, which can be fatal to both nation
          and individuals. In this world, no one is so strong as to
          court disaster with impunity.

             According to the  divine scheme of life, any
          achievement is a result of two factors – one’s personal
          planning and support by the external world. The share
          of personal planning is less than fifty per cent while the
          share of outside factors is more than fifty per cent. It
          is this fact which makes over-confidence untenable in
          this world. People, thanks to their obsessions, take into
          account  only  their  own planning,  generally ignoring
          external factors. Unable to foresee future developments,
          they indulge in unrealistic thinking, which eventually
          proves fatal. Most of the people who are prone to this
          kind of thinking risk being failures.
             I know an educated  person who  was in a good
          government job but then, because  of  his  political
          ambitions, he resigned from service and threw himself
          into the arena of politics. This adventure proved to be



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