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38. The outbreak was first detected in Mexico City, where surveillance began picking up a surge
in cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) starting March 18. [80]
39. On April 18. [85] The Mexican cases were confirmed by the CDC and the World Health
Organization to be a new strain of H1N1. [80][86]
40. Cases were also reported in the states of San Luis Potosí, Hidalgo, Querétaro and Mexico
State. [87] Mexican Health Minister José Ángel Córdova on April 24, said "We’re dealing with a
new flu virus that constitutes a respiratory epidemic that so far is controllable." [87] Mexican news
media speculate that the outbreak may have started in February near a Smithfield Foods pig plant
amid complaints about its intensive farming practices, [88][89] although no pigs in Mexico have
tested positive for the virus. [citation needed]
41. The first death from swine flu occurred on April 13, when a diabetic woman from Oaxaca died
from respiratory complications. [91][92] The Mexican fatalities are alleged to be mainly young adults
of 25 to 45.
42. Although by late April there had been reports of 152 "probable deaths" [94] in Mexico, the
WHO had received reports of only 7 confirmed deaths as of April 29 and explicitly denied the
larger figure. [95][96]
43. Mexico's Health Secretary declared that around 100 early suspected deaths from swine flu
could not be confirmed because samples were not taken. [5]
44. Cases were first discovered in the U.S. and officials soon suspected a link between those
incidents and an earlier outbreak of late-season flu cases in Mexico. Within days hundreds of
suspected cases, some of them fatal, were discovered in Mexico, with yet more cases found in the
U.S. and several other countries in the Northern Hemisphere. Soon thereafter, the U.N.'s World
Health Organization (WHO), along with the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC), expressed concern that the A(H1N1) could become a worldwide flu pandemic, and WHO
then raised its pandemic disease alert level to "Phase 5" out of the six maximum, as a "signal that
a pandemic is at the imminent level".
45. According to a Summary of latest H1N1 developments in the United States by Alexander S
Jones May 19, 2009
A) H1N1 may have killed an infant in New York who developed cyanosis with rapid progression
to death. This is an ominous parallel to 1918. This suggests viral pneumonia, but we have no
confirmation. Whether this is from the New York 'consensus strain' or a new recombinant,
mutant, or reassortant is unknown at this time.
http://www.flutrackers.com/forum/showthread.php?t=105092
http://www.myfoxny.com/dpp/health/swine_flu/090519_second_possible_death_from_swine_flu_
in_new_york_city
B) Dr. Niman has estimated there are currently 1 - 10 million infections in the United States. This
matches my own assessment. With a case fatality rate of 0.1%, we can expect 1000 - 10000 deaths
-- although it has become clear at this point the authorities are covering up the spread of the virus.
With a case fatality rate of 0.4%, we can expect 4000 - 40000 deaths.
http://www.recombinomics.com/News/05180901/Swine_H1N1_Japan_6.html