Page 15 - Counter Insurgancy
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infrastructure and personnel will undermine the government’s morale,
                 confidence  and  capability,  weakening  its  authority  and  control  over
                 affected areas;

               –  This effect is magnified by the depiction of such violence in propagan-
                 da, portraying the government as weak and the insurgents as strong, and
                 exacerbating local grievances. Propaganda is sometimes the primary
                 aim of insurgent violence;

               –  Targeting members of different ethnic or sectarian groups may engender
                 a sense of social identity, solidarity and alienation from the government;

               –  By  creating  violent  instability,  insurgents  may  be  able  to  encourage
                 people  to  turn  to  them  in  preference  to  the  government  to  ‘restore’
                 public order;
               –  If insurgents can provoke excessive government action against a popu-
                 lation,  then  death,  injury,  mistreatment,  or  dishonor  can  become  a
                 powerful motivator for retributive action against the government.

        Challenging Government Security

        Insurgents usually have less conventional military capacity than the government (at
        least in the early stages of insurgency) and so tend to use guerrilla tactics to inflict
        damage without allowing their fighters to be engaged by equal or larger govern-
        ment forces. Tactics such as raids, ambushes, assassinations, sabotage, booby traps,
        and improvised explosive devices take advantage of mobility, stealth, deception
        and surprise to weaken, discredit, or paralyze the less agile government security
        forces. Insurgents try to manage the tempo and intensity of their activities to permit
        a level of effort they can sustain indefinitely. By prolonging the conflict, they hope
        to exhaust the opposition, seeking to impose unsustainable costs on the government
        to force capitulation. Although the permutations of insurgent activity are context-
        driven, historical analysis shows that insurgents typically apply four basic tactics,
        or variations of them, to defeat stronger security forces:

        •   Provocation:  Insurgents often commit acts (such as atrocities) that are intend-
            ed to prompt opponents to react irrationally, in ways that harm their interests.
            For example, government forces, frustrated  by their  inability to  distinguish
            fighters from non-combatants, may be provoked into indiscriminate reprisals
            or harsh security measures that alienate parts of the population. Alternatively,
            one tribal, religious, ethnic or community group may be provoked into attack-
            ing another in order to create and exploit instability.
        •   Intimidation:  Insurgents intimidate individual members of the government
            (especially police and local government officials) to dissuade them from taking
            active measures against the insurgents. They will also publicly kill civilians


      10     U.S. GOVERNMENT COUNTERINSURGENCY GUIDE  •  JANUARY 2009
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