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       62   Briefing The crisis in carmaking                                                                         The Economist April 25th 2020



           Better batteries                                                                             economies of scale from the huge factories
                                                                                                        that catl, Tesla and their rivals operate, are
           Charging up for a long ride                                                                  steadily bringing down the price of batter-
                                                                                                        ies. In 2010, according to Bloombergnef, a
                                                                                                        research firm, that price averaged $1,160 per
                                                                                                        kwh. By 2024 it may drop below $100 (see
                                                                                                        chart). At that point evs will be more com-
                                                                                                        petitive with combustion-engined cars.
                                                                                                            As for greater range, many people in the
           In one form or another, lithium remains the battery material of choice
                                                                                                        field are pinning their hopes on batteries
                 hen, a decade ago, a new generation                                                    that have solid rather than liquid electro-
           Wof electric vehicles (evs) started to ap-      Ionisation potential                         lytes. Lithium ions can tunnel through cer-
           pear on the roads, researchers at the Geor-     Lithium-ion battery-pack price               tain solid electrolytes. Such cells would be
           gia Institute of Technology spent a year        Constant 2018 $ per kWh                      safer and provide the possibility of using
           tracking the habits of almost 500 American                                           1,200   other electrode materials for much higher
           motorists to see how suitable such vehicles                                                  energy densities. Among the latest of these
                                                                                     FORECAST
           would be for them. Nearly a third, they                                              1,000   solid-state proposals is a design developed
           found, could have completed most of their                                             800    at Samsung’s research laboratories in
           journeys using an ev with a range of only                                                    South Korea and Japan by a group led by
           100 miles (160km). On the half a dozen or so                                          600    Dongmin Im. This uses an nmccathode, an
           occasions that people needed to travel far-                                                  anode made of a composite of silver and
                                                                                                 400
           ther, they could have charged up en route,                                                   carbon, and a solid electrolyte based on a
           or hired a petrol-powered car.                                                        200    substance called argyrodite that is a com-
              These days, things are better. Many evs                                                   pound of silver, germanium and sulphur.
                                                                                                   0
           are able to travel more than twice that dis-                                                     According to a paper the team pub-
                                                           2010  12  14   16   18  20   22  24
           tance on a single charge—and some big and                                                    lished in March, these cells have an energy
                                                           Source: BloombergNEF
           expensive models can manage 400km or                                                         density of 900wh per litre. That means they
           so. Still, a lot of potential buyers worry                                                   have double the capacity, for a given vol-
           about running out of juice. The long-range     costliest material in the battery and pro-    ume, of a conventional Li-ion cell. The
           batteries that would settle their nerves are   ducers are trying to reduce its use. A lot of  group estimate the cell delivers 430wh/kg,
           coming, but a few pot-holes await.             cobalt also comes from the Democratic Re-     which would power an electric car for
              The batteries that have made electric       public of Congo, where conditions for min-    something like 800km. And argyrodite
           cars possible are composed of lithium-ion      ers are grim. One popular way of reducing     cells do not grow damaging needle-like
           (Li-ion) cells—a design commercialised by      cobalt use is by replacing some of it with    crystals called dendrites, which can devel-
           Sony in 1991. What makes Li-ion batteries      nickel and manganese, to produce what are     op while Li-ion cells charge.
           special is their high energy-storage capaci-   known as nmc cells.                               This battery should be “more cost-effec-
           ty. A modern one is able to pack 200 watt-        Last year China’s biggest maker of elec-   tive” than current cells, the team reckons.
           hours of electrical potential into a single    tric-car batteries,  catl, began the mass     Unfortunately for actual motorists, they
           kilogram of kit, for an energy density of      production of nmc batteries with an ener-     are unable to say when or how it could be
           200wh/kg. That is a fivefold improvement        gy density of 240wh/kg. Some other firms,      mass-produced. This is a common pro-
           on the old lead-acid battery—and research-     including Tesla, hope to go further and get   blem with such devices. Arumugam Man-
           ers are constantly fiddling to do better.       rid of cobalt altogether—though in Tesla’s    thiram, a battery expert at the University of
              Li-ion cells get their name from the        case they are cagey about the details. Re-    Texas at Austin, points to two main obsta-
           movement within them of lithium ions           ducing the cost of materials, together with   cles in the way of solid-state batteries.
           (lithium atoms with a missing electron,                                                          First, two solids placed face to face have
           and so a positive electrical charge). When                                                   only limited points of contact through
           such a cell is discharging, the ions are                                                     which ions can pass between electrode and
           created at one electrode, the anode. They                                                    electrolyte. Contact between a liquid and a
           then shuttle, via a separator which only                                                     solid is, by contrast, continuous. One way
           they can pass, through a liquid electrolyte                                                  to overcome this is to use a polymer elec-
           to a second electrode, the cathode. The                                                      trolyte that is flexible enough to conform
           electrons stripped away at the anode,                                                        itself to the surface of a solid electrode.
           meanwhile, travel towards the cathode                                                        Alas, as Dr Manthiram observes, “We do not
           along an external electrical circuit. This                                                   yet have a good polymer electrolyte.”
           creates a current that can be used to power                                                      The second problem is manufacturing.
           an electric motor. At the cathode, ions and                                                  Many solid electrolytes are ceramics, and
           electrons are re-united—and remain so un-                                                    so brittle. That makes them tricky to pro-
           til the battery is plugged into a charger and                                                duce in large sheets. Polymers avoid this.
           the whole process is reversed.                                                               But they face the original problem.
              Handily for weight-sensitive applica-                                                         Moreover, newish though it is, the Li-
           tions like cars, Lithium is the lightest metal                                               ion technology is well established enough
           in the periodic table. But it is also reactive.                                              for vested interests to exist. Shifting from
           The cells need careful construction to                                                       liquid to solid electrolytes would mean
           avoid flaws that can cause short circuits,                                                    building a lot of expensive new plant. De-
           and possibly a fire. Anodes usually consist                                                   veloping better liquid electrolytes, and
           of a carbon-rich material. The lithium in                                                    new electrodes to match them, may be the
           the cathode tends to be part of an oxide,                                                    surest route towards safer, more powerful
           typically lithium cobalt oxide. Cobalt is the  That way to bigger Li-ions                    Li-ion batteries. 7
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