Page 16 - EurOil Week 24 2022
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EurOil                                       NEWS IN BRIEF                                             EurOil

       S&P affirms MOL’s ‘BBB-’ rating     after the Russian supplier Gazprom halted   sure people who rely on gas for heating can
                                              Poland no longer receives gas from Russia
                                                                                keep warm in the winter should Estonia fail
       with stable outlook                 shipments in April after Poland refused to   to create the capacity to receive liquified
                                           pay for gas in roubles. Payment in roubles
                                                                                natural gas (LNG) in Paldiski this year.
         S&P Global Ratings affirmed Hungarian oil  was a demand by the Russian side in response   “Growing the gas stockpile is just one of the
       and gas company MOL’s ‘BBB-’ rating with a   to Western sanctions after Russia attacked   ways we will be ensuring energy supply for
       stable outlook on June 14. MOL shares gained   Ukraine in late February.  the coming winter,” Timo Tatar said.
       6.6% on the news                       The auction for the link with Denmark   Procurement conditions ruled out the
         The rating agency said that political risks   concerns gas to flow via the Baltic Pipe, a new   participation of Russian gas, while there
       MOL faces, in the form of a European Union   link, the construction of which is nearing   is clear deficit of gas from elsewhere and
       embargo on Russian oil and a windfall tax   completion. The Baltic Pipe’s capacity of about   supply sources, Ando Leppiman, head of
       on refiners introduced by the Hungarian   10 billion cubic metres (bcm) of gas annually   the Estonian Stockpiling Agency, said. The
       government, are mitigated by “robust” cash   will replace supplies from Russia.  Klaipeda LNG terminal remains the only
       flow boosted by high commodity prices.  By combining flows via the Baltic Pipe   way to source non-Russian gas.
         S&P noted the timeframe of extending   from Norway and through links with   “The problem is availability. Also, price,
       the exemption of pipeline deliveries would   neighbouring countries and LNG imports   as it is irrational to buy gas at prices you
       play “an important role” in the company’s   from Qatar and the US, Poland expects no   cannot really expect the consumer to cover.
       ability to utilise its capacity and maintain cash   disturbances after severing gas ties with Russia  But we cannot describe the situation as
       flow. If MOL needed to replace its Russian   in the wake of the war.     catastrophic either. Our task is to procure 1
       crude, “significant” infrastructure and asset   Gaz-System will also auction capacity for   TWh of gas by year’s end or by autumn, and
       investments might be necessary, it added.  shipping gas through interconnectors with   I remain optimistic in terms of achieving
         The company earlier put the cost of   Germany.                         that goal,” Leppiman said.
       converting its refineries to $500mn-700mn.  Auctions will be held on July 4 on the GSA
         The windfall tax on refiners could add   booking platform for the links with Denmark,
       HUF250bn (€625mn) to MOL’s tax payment   Lithuania, and Slovakia. Auctions to ship gas   Croatia mulls increasing storage
       in 2022, S&P said. In spite of those factors,   via links with Germany will take place on the
       S&P said MOL’s profits stemming from the   RBP platform.                 capacity of Janaf oil pipeline
       big Urals-Brent spread, its “business resilience
       and diversity” and “prudent balance sheet                                  The Croatian authorities are taking steps
       management” will limit the overall effect on   Estonia might not be able to   to increase the storage capacity of the Janaf oil
       credit metrics. S&P could lower MOL’s rating                             pipeline to guarantee energy security during
       if an unexpected change in crude sourcing   stockpile enough gas for winter  the Russian war in Ukraine, N1 reported on
       was to materially cut refinery output parallel                           June 9.
       with a fall in prices.                 Gas company Eesti Gaas does not believe   The Primorje-Gorski Kotar County
         MOL shares gained 6.56% to HUF2,794   Estonia will be able to stockpile the 1   councillors amended the county’s physical
       after the review. Year-to-date, the stock is up   terawatt-hour of gas it needs for the coming   plan, increasing the Janaf oil pipeline’s storage
       15%.                                heating season should its LNG terminal   capacity in the town of Omisalj on the
         In related news, MOL said it shut down   plan fall through. The first procurement   northern Adriatic island of Krk. They also
       production temporarily at its Hungarian   yielded only a tenth of the required volume,   granted the Kraljevica shipyard the status of a
       refinery close to Budapest, after a fire   with the Estonian Stockpiling Agency (ESA)   state shipyard.
       broke out at the atmospheric and vacuum   forced to hold additional tenders, ERR.ee,   The new storage will cover an area of
       distillation unit. The fire could temporarily   an Estonian news website, reported on June   640,000 square metres and will increase the
       cut daily production capacity by about 8,000   10.                       Omisalj terminal’s capacity to 2.04mn cubic
       tonnes from 21,000, it said.           The Estonian Stockpiling Agency   metres, while new storage for refined products
         There were no injuries and no     invited 27 gas sellers to the first public   will total 220,000 cubic metres of capacity.
       environmental damages. The unit affected   procurement. Margus Kaasik, CEO of Eesti   Two new tanker berths will also be built to
       by the fire could return to normal operation   Gaas, which also participated,  said that the   increase the country’s oil storage.
       within less than two weeks, the oil company   low number of bids means the gas market   In May, Croatia said it could increase
       added                               remains uncertain.                   the transportation capacity of Janaf by 30%
                                              “The bids did not amount to 1 TWh.   to supply Hungary with oil. Janaf currently
                                           The market was not willing to pledge that   transports 11.4mn tonnes of crude oil
       Poland to auction capacity          much gas. Sellers are uncertain and tend to   annually.
                                           sit on gas for themselves and their existing

       on gas links with Denmark,          customers to play it safe,” Kaasik said.  Gas link between Serbia and
                                              Kaasik said it is by no means certain
       Lithuania, Slovakia in July         Estonia will manage to buy the necessary
                                           quantity at future tenders. “While they
         Poland is planning to auction annual gas   might see more bids, I remain sceptical   Bulgaria to be ready in 2023
       transmission capacity on three new gas links   in terms of whether we can secure the   Serbian Energy Minister Zorana Mihajlovic
       with neighbouring Lithuania and Slovakia,   necessary 1 TWh of gas,” Kaasik suggested.  said that with the construction of a gas
       as well as Denmark, on July 4, Polish gas grid   Timo Tatar, undersecretary for   interconnector with Bulgaria, that should
       operator Gaz-System said on June 13.  the Ministry of Economic Affairs and   be ready next year, Serbia will get the
         Auctioning capacity to ensure gas flows   Communications, said that the results of the  opportunity to receive gas from suppliers
       between connected grids is key to diversifying   first procurement were to be expected and   other than Russia, the government said in the
       gas supplies from “several directions and   reflect the situation on the gas market.  statement.
       sources”, Gaz-System said.             The state gas stockpile is meant to make   The construction of the gas interconnector




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