Page 6 - GLNG Week 36 2022
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GLNG                                          COMMENTARY                                               GLNG















































                           Other options include breaking the link
                         between gas and power prices, which would  question. Germany has proposed taxes on fossil
                         hopefully see a fall in electricity costs.  fuel production and gas imports, while the UK is
                           However, speed is of the essence, and cobbling  refusing to introduce any new taxes, suggesting
                         together a package of reforms will take week. The  that the support will be funded by borrowing.
                         formal Energy Council meeting is due in Octo-  Ultimately, the economic impact of high LNG
                         ber, while von der Leyen will make a State of the  prices and the cost of intervention measures
                         European Union speech later in September.  means that the economic impact will be enor-
                           Nevertheless, she firmly placed the blame for  mous, with gas-intensive industries cutting
                         the current energy crisis on the Russian govern-  back activity and energy skyrocketing for both
                         ment, accusing it of weaponizing energy as part  domestic and industrial users. Steel, fertiliser
                         of its invasion of Ukraine.          and other energy-intensive industries are set for
                           Such a view is shared by Sergiy Makogon,  a wave of closures and reduced output.
                         CEO of Gas Transmission System Operator of   Coal is also making a comeback, with the fuel
                         Ukraine (GTSOU), who highlighted that Europe  accounting for 33% of Germany’s power so far
                         has enough supply routes to source gas, but that  this year, up from 17% in 2021. Gas’ share of the
                         it is Gazprom that has shut down gas supplies.  power mix fell from 18% to 12%, the Financial
                         ™Freight rates for LNG tankers are growing, and  Times reported.
                         the tanker market is now sold out for winter as   All this comes as Germany will continue
                         energy majors are refusing to release their vessels  to close its last three remaining reactors in
                         as they typically do at the end of summer.  December.
                                                               This high-price environment is creating con-
                         Borrowing                            siderable financial and economic risk for LNG
                         Meanwhile, Germany and has put forward a  traders, gas producers and government. While
                         EUR45bn funding package to subsidise the cost  gas producers and utility companies are able to
                         of gas.                              rake in high profits at the current time, the face
                           In the UK, which is not vulnerable to any Rus-  new taxation and pricing caps from govern-
                         sian physical supply cut in terms of actual vol-  ments eager to rein in what seems to be runaway
                         umes, but is highly exposed to high wholesale  prices.
                         prices, new Prime Minister Liz Truss said that   Meanwhile, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine con-
                         her new government would borrow the cash to  tinues, and global gas markets are continuing
                         support energy bills, with the amount of being  the painful process of forging new trading pat-
                         suggested at up to £130bn.           terns and managing ballooning prices while also
                           Where this money comes from is a major  meeting demand.™



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 36  09•September•2022
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