Page 12 - FSUOGM Week 07 2023
P. 12

FSUOGM                                           MARKETS                                            FSUOGM


       Europe’s gas tanks at record 69% full




       with just over one month of heating to go




        UKRAINE          EUROPE’S gas storage tanks are 68.8% full, a  remain at 19% as of February 7. Ukraine went
                         record high in the last decade, with a little more  into the heating season with some 14bn cubic
       EU gas storage    than one month left of the heating season. (chart)  metres of gas in storage, well below the circa 19
       utilisation has reached   After the weather turned colder in recent  bcm it usually starts winter with.
       a decade high.    weeks withdrawals from the gas tanks stepped   However, the havoc and destruction caused
                         up but remained on a par with previous years.  by the war against Russia has significantly cut
                         The levels of gas in storage are tracking those  demand, reducing withdrawals. As the heating
                         of 2021, the previous record year, and slightly  season usually finishes at the end of March it
                         higher than the 68.5% full tanks were on the  appears that Ukraine will complete the season
                         same day in 2021.                    with sufficient reserves in its tanks.
                           In December, unusually mild conditions plus   Gas prices have tumbled on the back of copi-
                         the ongoing arrival of record amounts of LNG  ous supplies of gas, and were trading at $2.4 per
                         imports allowed Germany to briefly reverse  MMBtu ($819 per thousand cubic metres) as
                         flows and add to its stock of gas for almost two  of February 8, well below the astronomical lev-
                         weeks, bringing its tanks back to an unprece-  els of last year summer and 34% lower than the
                         dented 90% full in the midst of winter.  same date a year ago on the eve of the start of
                           Since then, withdrawals from German tanks  the war. Prices have fallen by 27% year on year
                         have resumed, but Germany’s tanks were 75.4%  in just the last month as the end of the season
                         full as of February 7, the highest level in over five  approaches.
                         years. All in all, tanks remain at levels not seen in   Nevertheless, despite the recent fall in prices,
                         the last decade.                     the cost of gas remains approximately twice the
                           Ukraine also looks like it will get through the  level of the average price prior to the start of the
                         heating season without mishap, where the tanks  coronavirus pandemic.™



















































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