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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       IEA puts $3 trillion price





       tag on green recovery






       The IEA calls for $3 trillion of new energy investment over three years to avoid emissions
       bouncing back to and to move towards the Paris Agreement goals, writes Richard Lockhart




        GLOBAL           THE IEA has called for $3 trillion of public and  the process saving or creating roughly 9 million
                         private investment in green technology over  jobs per year
       WHAT:             the next three years in a bid stimulate the post-  Crucially, investing in green technology
       The IEA calls for $3   COVID-19 global economic recovery and to  would reduce annual global energy-related
       trillion of public and   put CO2 emissions into decline on a permanent  greenhouse gas emissions by 4.5bn tonnes over
       private investment   basis.                            the three years of the plan. It would also reduce
       between 2021 and 2023  Its Sustainable Recovery Plan, released on  air pollution emissions by 5%, bring access to
                         June 18, aims to boost economic growth, create  clean-cooking solutions to 420mn people and
       WHY:              millions of jobs and put emissions into structural  enable nearly 270mn people to gain access to
       This new money is   decline.                           electricity in in developing countries in Africa
       needed to stimulate   Implementing the plan would mean that  and Asia.
       economic recovery and   emissions would never return to their 2019 peak,
       to put emissions into   and that energy-sector emissions would be 4.5bn  Green technology
       decline on a permanent   tonnes of CO2 equivalent lower in 2023 com-  The report comes up with stimulus policies in six
       basis             pared to a scenario with no stimulus.  key sectors of the economy – electricity, trans-
                           The major new investment drive is needed  port, industry, buildings, fuels and emerging
       WHAT NEXT:        to offset the forecast 20% reduction in energy  low-carbon technologies.
       The EIA is saying what   investment in 2020 and a forecast 6% contrac-  Indeed, green technology would host the
       governments could do,   tion in the global economy, as the economic  largest portion of the millions of new jobs cre-
       but there are doubts over   fallout of COVID-19 causes government and  ated through the Sustainable Recovery Plan.
       what will actually happen  corporations to rein in spending.  These jobs would be involved in the “deep
                           The report outlines energy-focused policies  retrofitting” of buildings to improve energy effi-
                         and investments to move the world towards a  ciency and in the electricity sector, particularly
                         cleaner and more resilient future.   in grids and renewables.
                           In particular, the plan would accelerate   The other areas that would see higher
                         the deployment of modern, reliable and clean  employment include energy efficiency in indus-
                         energy technologies and infrastructure.  tries such as manufacturing, food and textiles;
                           “Policy makers are having to make hugely  low-carbon transport infrastructure; and more
                         consequential decisions in a very short space  efficient and new energy vehicles.
                         of time as they draw up stimulus packages. Our   In terms of innovation, the report calls for
                         sustainable recovery plan provides them with  more focus on crucial technology areas, includ-
                         rigorous analysis and clear advice on how to  ing hydrogen, batteries, carbon capture utilisa-
                         tackle today’s major economic, energy and cli-  tion and storage (CCUS), and small modular
                         mate challenges at the same time,” said IEA exec-  nuclear reactors.
                         utive director Fatih Birol.
                                                              Important sectors
                         Targets                              Meanwhile, the report argues that investing $1
                         The report, which was carried out by the IEA  trillion per year in green technology would make
                         together with the International Monetary Fund,  the global energy sector would become more
                         found that $1 trillion per year of public and pri-  resilient, making countries better prepared for
                         vate investment, equivalent to 0.7% of global  future crises. This can be done by enhancing
                         GDP, would be needed between 2021 and 2023.   electricity grids, upgrading hydropower facil-
                           This includes $300bn per year of government  ities, extending the lifetimes of nuclear power
                         spending alongside supportive policies, which  plants and increasing energy efficiency.
                         the report claims would mobilise private sector   This would improve electricity security by
                         into spending the other $700bn per year.  lowering the risk of outages, boosting flexibility
                           The report found that this investment had the  and reducing grid losses.
                         potential to increase global economic growth by   Importantly, it would help integrate larger
                         an average of 1.1 percentage points per year, in  shares of variable renewable generation such as



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