Page 5 - NorthAmOil Week 05 2023
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NorthAmOil                                   COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil


                                                                                                  More liquefaction
                                                                                                  capacity is under
                                                                                                  construction in the US.

































                         carbon capture and storage [CCS] project.” Nex-  Asian companies committed to purchasing
                         tDecade is currently targeting FID on the first  1.8bn cubic feet (51 mcm ) per day of the vol-
                         three trains of the project in the first quarter of  umes contracted with these US LNG projects
                         2023.                                last year. Companies in Europe committed to
                                                              buying 1.2 bcf (34 mcm) per day, and companies
                         Building on momentum                 with trading affiliates – which would be more
                         The  newly announced  deals build on the  likely to deliver LNG cargoes to multiple desti-
                         momentum experienced by the US LNG indus-  nations – committed to purchasing 3.0 bcf (85
                         try last year as buyers scrambled to lock in sup-  mcm) per day.
                         plies amid rising LNG spot prices and market   The EIA noted, citing Cedigaz data, that
                         volatility. According to the US Energy Informa-  because of the Ukraine war, Europe had
                         tion Administration (EIA), in 2022 SPAs were  increased its LNG imports by 66%, or 5.9 bcf
                         signed for US LNG from eight projects, totalling  (167 mcm) per day in 2022 compared with
                         about 170mn cubic metres per day. Two of the  2021. The agency pointed to reduced pipeline
                         projects are already under construction, four  gas deliveries from Russia and record prices at
                         have received regulatory approval but have not  European trading hubs. Europe will be able to
                         yet reached FID and two are still only proposals  receive 34% more LNG in 2024 compared with
                         at the pre-approval stage.           2021, by expanding its import capability, said   The newly
                           Those under construction are Cheniere Ener-  the EIA.
                         gy’s Corpus Christi Stage 3 and Venture Global   According to BloombergNEF, the US’ export   announced
                         LNG’s Plaquemines facility. The approved pro-  capacity will eclipse Qatar’s by 2027. “The US   deals build on
                         jects are Delfin Midstream’s Delfin LNG, Energy  will become more of a global gas player,” said
                         Transfer’s Lake Charles LNG, Port Arthur Phase  BloombergNEF’s lead US gas analyst, Enri-  the momentum
                         1 and Rio Grande LNG. The proposed but yet-  que Gonzalez. “Unlike in the past, prices in its
                         to-be-approved projects are Venture Global’s  domestic gas market will be more connected   experienced
                         CP2 LNG and the Commonwealth LNG pro-  with the rest of the world,” he added.
                         ject, being developed by a company of the same   The US’ export capacity is expected to reach   by the US LNG
                         name.                                169mn tpy by 2027, according to the research   industry last year.
                           Around 74% of the SPAs signed in 2022 are  provider. “The US is in the lead because of its
                         for 20-year terms beginning when the pro-  flexible contract terms and the competitive
                         jects in question begin commercial operations.  landscape of project developers,” said Bloomb-
                         The earliest start date among them would be  ergNEF’s global LNG specialist, Michael
                         2024. Additionally, 92% of the SPAs are for  Yip. Roughly 89% of total LNG SPAs in 2022
                         LNG cargoes that would be sold on a free-on-  involved offtake from US-based projects,
                         board (FOB) basis, with the buyer paying for  according to BloombergNEF.
                         and receiving the LNG involved at the loading   Given these trends, and the fact that global
                         terminal.                            supply remains tight for now, US LNG produc-
                           Buyers are considered likely to deliver the  ers are well-positioned to announce more SPAs
                         LNG they purchase to their domestic markets.  as the year progresses.™



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