Page 18 - EurOil Week 29
P. 18

EurOil                                            POLICY                                               EurOil


                         point in coordinating production increases  “challenging geology and reliance on enhanced
                         going forward.”                      oil recovery (EOR) hinder output increases.
                           Saudi Arabia, for instance, needs $70 per bar-  The sultanate cut production by nearly a quar-
                         rel oil to fund its budget, whereas Russia needs a  ter earlier this year, with most of this coming
                         price of only $42 per barrel to balance the books.  from Petroleum Development Oman’s (PDO)
                         And while Saudi Arabia made a voluntary cut of  large Block 6 concession. Compliance should
                         1mn bpd in June to help prices recover, Russia  not be an issue for Oman, but overcoming the
                         wants to avoid keeping back any more supply  economic ramifications of lower oil prices and
                         than it has to. It has plans to drill but not com-  returning to full output will be much more
                         plete thousands of wells, allowing Russian pro-  challenging.”
                         ducers to quickly ramp up supply as OPEC+   Global oil demand is expected to be 7.9mn
                         restrictions are eased and claw back market share  bpd lower this year than last, according to the
                         from competitors.                    International Energy Agency (IEA)’s latest
                           In a note on July 20, consultancy IGM Energy  monthly report. It will rise by 5.3mn bpd in 2021
                         said: “Bouncing back from the output cuts is  and exceed the 2019 level in 2022. This forecast
                         likely to be swift for Middle Eastern producers.  follows a 16.4mn bpd year-on-year decline in oil
                         Saudi Arabia made changes to rig schedules,  consumption in the second quarter, because of
                         with the Berri and Marjan crude increment pro-  COVID-19 lockdown measures.
                         jects slowed and units mobilised elsewhere. In   The world’s oil production came to 86.86mn
                         the UAE, Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC)  bpd in June, a nine-year low and down 2.39mn
                         shut down Bab for maintenance for nearly the  bpd versus the level in May. This decline was
                         entire month of July. Meanwhile, Iraq will have  mainly on the back of OPEC+ cutbacks. Full-
                         less flexibility to increase output until October,  year output is forecast by the IEA to be 7.1mn
                         having agreed to compensatory production cuts  bpd lower in 2020 than in 2019.
                         for July, August and September, following its his-  “While the oil market has undoubtedly
                         toric non-compliance.”               made progress since ‘Black April’, the large,
                           Meanwhile, the Omani Ministry of Oil said  and in some countries, accelerating number of
                         that Muscat would show its “100% commitment  COVID-19 cases is a disturbing reminder that
                         to the OPEC+ alliance by cutting 161,000 bpd, as  the pandemic is not under control and the risk
                         of September 2020, from Oman’s quota.”  to our market outlook is almost certainly to the
                           Of Oman, the IGM Energy note added that  downside,” the IEA said. ™

                                                   PERFORMANCE

       PLN Orlen breaks ground on



       Plock visbreaker





        POLAND           POLAND’S PKN Orlen broke ground ear-  International. PKN Orlen earlier awarded a
                         lier this month on a new visbreaking unit at its  PLN750mn contract for design, procurement, con-
       The unit will enable   327,300 barrel per day (bpd) refinery in Plock.  struction, installation and commissioning work on
       the refinery to increase   The new unit, which will cost PLN1bn  the visbreaker to KTI Poland and IDS-BUD.
       its fuel yield for every   ($255mn) to build, will improve oil feedstock   PKN Orlen has other projects in the works
       barrel processed by   flexibility and efficiency by converting vacuum  at the Plock refinery. These include the upgrade
       2%.               residue from the refinery’s oil distillation unit  of a hydrocracking unit in order to boost diesel
                         into light, high-margin products such as gaso-  production by 100,000 tonnes per year (tpy), and
                         line and diesel. This residue is currently used to  the modernisation of a diesel hydrotreater, rais-
                         produce lower-margin products such as heavy  ing output of the fuel by a further 150,000 tpy.
                         fuel oil and asphalt.                  Once all planned investments at the Plock
                           The unit will enable the refinery to increase  refinery are finished after 2022, PKN Orlen
                         its fuel yield from every barrel of oil processed  expects the plant’s annual EBITDA to soar by
                         by 2%, and raise the plant’s EBITDA by up to  over PLN600mn. The Polish refiner has also
                         PLN415mn annually. It is due on stream in  established a research and development centre at
                         December 2022.                       Plock, aimed at developing, improving and pat-
                           “We are implementing the visbreaker project  enting new and existing technologies, licences
                         because we want to effectively respond to the  and products. The goal is to reduce PKN Orlen’s
                         growing demand for high-margin products,”  reliance on external technologies.
                         Daniel Obajtek, president of PKN Orlen’s man-  The centre was set up as part of PKN Orlen’s
                         agement board, said in a statement. “The unit  petrochemicals development programme,
                         will allow us to optimise refining output and  launched in 2018 and comprising PLN8.3bn in
                         quickly grow our profits.            investment until the end of 2023. Its completion
                           Visbreaking technology has been jointly  will raise EBITDA by a further PLN1.5bn annu-
                         licensed from Royal Dutch Shell and McDermott  ally, the company said. ™

       P18                                      www. NEWSBASE .com                           Week 29   23•July•2020
   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22