Page 4 - AsianOil Week 47
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AsianOil                                       SOUTH ASIA                                            AsianOil


       Fitch downbeat on Indian




       NOCs’ credit outlook




        PERFORMANCE      INTERNATIONAL  credit ratings  agency                  Indonesia's oil deficit        ™
                         Fitch Ratings said this week that it would   2,000
                         maintain its negative outlook on the majority   1,800
                         of Indian oil and gas issuers. The agency said   1,600
                                                                  1,400
                         that while it expects the credit metrics of most   1,200
                         Asia-Pacific issuers either to improve slightly   1,000
                         or remain flat in 2021, Indian companies were   ,000 bpd  800
                         a different story owing to their “strong state   600
                         linkages or because they are key subsidiaries   400
                                                                   200
                         of national oil companies (NOCs)”.         0
                           Fitch said it expected only a gradual recov-  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019
                         ery in Indian oil and gas demand in 2021 and              Production  Consumption     Data: BP
                         that declining domestic production amid
                         maturing oilfields remained a challenge. The  country’s potential. This has meant the burden of
                         agency added that it expected production  increasing production, and reducing the coun-
                         challenges to drive high capital expenditure  try’s dependence on imports – which is already
                         at most of the Asia-Pacific’s NOCs in order  above 80% – has fallen on state-run Oil and Nat-
                         to maintain domestic production levels while  ural Gas Corp. (ONGC).
                         expanding investment in overseas plays.  India Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas
                           Moreover, there will likely be limited  Dharmendra Pradhan, understanding the state
                         room for fiscal support as the government  sectors’ limited financial resources for expan-
                         focuses on tackling the country’s soaring  sive upstream projects, has called on the NOCs
                         coronavirus (COVID-19) caseload while  to farm out their acreages to foreign investors
                         also trying to get the economy back on  that have both the technological know-how and
                         track. Fitch has noted that it does not antici-  resources need to speed up development and
                         pate India’s GDP returning to pre-pandemic  boost the country’s oil and gas output.
                         levels until the first quarter of 2022.  “The government will grant petroleum
                           India has long struggled to turn around  mining lease rights but the companies
                         its upstream fortunes, with the COVID-19  should consider a farm-out (of a stake) to
                         pandemic compounding the issue. Domes-  get global technology players,” Reuters
                         tic crude production shrank 6.05% year on  quoted Pradhan as saying on November 17.
                         year in September to 2.49mn tonnes (608,000   Pradhan made the comments while signing
                         barrels per day). At the root of the problem  over production-sharing contracts (PSCs) for 11
                         has been India’s difficulty in attracting interest  blocks that were awarded to ONGC and state-
                         from the foreign majors, who have the skill,  run Oil India Ltd (OIL) in the fifth Open Acre-
                         experience and financial resources to unlock the  age Licensing Policy (OALP) bid round.™




       SSGCL’s suggested gas price




       hike draws industry ire




        POLICY           PAKISTAN’S Sui Southern Gas Company Ltd   SSGCL justified the increase by the fact that
                         (SSGCL) has encountered stiff opposition from  it was facing a PKR28.24bn ($175.7mn) shortfall
                         local industry over its request that the government  in revenue this year, owing to losses in its piped
                         hike wholesale natural gas prices by 10.6% for  gas and imported liquefied natural gas (LNG)
                         financial year 2021-2022.            businesses. It also pointed to issues such as the
                           The state-run utility has petitioned the Oil and Gas  government’s outstanding gas development sur-
                         Regulatory Authority (OGRA) to raise the govern-  charge (GDS) payments, which were applicable
                         ment-set gas price to PKR822.25 ($5.12) per mmBtu  prior to 2017-2018, as well as unaccounted-for
                         ($141.62 per 1,000 cubic metres) from PKR743.25  gas (UFG) losses in both the domestic and
                         ($4.63) per mmBtu ($128.07 per 1,000 cubic metres).  imported sides of its business.



       P4                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 47   26•November•2020
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