Page 5 - AsianOil Week 23
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AsianOil                                      SOUTH ASIA                                            AsianOil






















                         formula – as an example, say at $0.05 per mmBtu  LNG export facility that will be located near Lake
                         [$1.38 per 1,000 cubic metres] discount to [the  Charles, Louisiana.
                         West India Marker],” Singh said.
                           The West India Marker fell to $3.725 per  What next
                         mmBtu ($103.73 per 1,000 cubic metres) in Janu-  India has a history of seeking better supply deals
                         ary, with Platts noting at the time that it was the low-  while the energy market is experiencing price
                         est level since it had started assessing the marker in  pains. New Delhi managed to convince the
                         January 2010. This was before the effects of the pan-  Qatari government in 2015 to halve the cost of
                         demic had even set in, and since then the marker  its long-term gas supplies. In exchange, India
                         had fallen to $1.925 per mmBtu ($53.25 per 1,000  agreed to raise its purchases from 7.5mn tpy to
                         cubic metres) at the start of this month.  8.5mn tpy. India then moved on to a successful
                           Singh argues his suggestion is a win-win solu-  renegotiation of long-term supply contracts with
                         tion, ensuring that India receives prices always  Australia and Russia.
                         below the spot price, while “suppliers in turn will   New Delhi tried in January to revisit its sup-
                         have a guaranteed market over the longer term”.  ply deal with Qatar once more, but its efforts fell
                         He said more than a dozen of the 147 LNG sup-  flat, with Energy Minister Saad Sherida al-Kaabi
                         pliers the company talks to had made “extremely  saying: “We are not renegotiating contracts, we
                         good offers”.                        stick with contracts – both sides – and we look
                           “We are now working around that and per-  for additional new contacts and volumes to com-
                         haps in the next two to three months you may  ply with requirements from India.”
                         hear something from us to that effect,” the exec-  Doha’s bargain position may have weakened
                         utive added.                         enough that New Delhi may be willing to try
                           The plunge in prices has already seen the  again. Qatari gas cost an estimated $8.5-9 per
                         company rethink one major new term contract it  mmBtu ($235.11-248.94 per 1,000 cubic metres)
                         was negotiating with US gas developer Tellurian.  when oil was $60-70 per barrel. The average spot
                                                              price for July delivery into East Asia, meanwhile,
                         Deal delays                          was estimated at $2.10 per mmBtu ($58.09 per
                         The Houston-based company revealed on June  1,000 cubic metres) on June 5.
                         5 that Petronet had let their memorandum of   The IEA has said India and China’s expand-
                         understanding (MoU), which was signed in  ing gas consumption will help support a recov-
                         September 2019, lapse.               ery in global demand in the coming years. India
                           Under the terms of the MoU, Petronet was  is expected to close in on South Korea’s position
                         negotiating not just the purchase of up to 5mn  as the world’s third-largest importer of LNG by
                         tpy of LNG from the proposed Driftwood export  2023, while China will overtake Japan as the
                         terminal on the US Gulf Coast, but also a $2.5bn  global leader.
                         equity acquisition in Driftwood Holdings.  Singh told Platts that while the South Asian
                           Tellurian and Petronet had envisioned final-  giant’s gas demand had fallen from a pre-
                         ising the transaction by March 31, but after  COVID-19 high of 160mn cubic metres per day
                         executives from the US company visited India  to 110 mcm during the lockdown, it had already
                         in February the deadline was pushed back to  recovered to 145 mcm per day and it would not
                         May 31. Tellurian spokesperson Joi Lecznar said  be long before the lost ground had been regained.
                         last week that while the agreement had lapsed,  He added that LNG imports, which shrank 40%
                         the company was still in talks with Petronet and  to 1.5mn tonnes in May, would pick up over the
                         other possible offtakers for the LNG terminal.  next six months.
                           The lapsing of the deal is anticipated to delay   Given that Qatar is embarking on a major
                         an FID on the export project, given that Tellurian  expansion of its LNG export capacity and the
                         has only managed to finalise one supply deal –  demand outlook is plagued by uncertainty –
                         Total agreed in July 2019 to buy 1mn tpy as well  the biggest threat remains a second wave of
                         as a $500mn investment in Driftwood Holdings.  COVID-19 infections – it would not be sur-
                           The Driftwood project includes gas produc-  prising to hear in the coming months that
                         tion, gathering, processing and transportation  Indian buyers had indeed managed to secure
                         facilities, along with the 27.6mn tpy Driftwood  more favourable term contracts.™



       Week 23   11•June•2020                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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