Page 5 - AfrOil Week 30 2021
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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         The progress will mark a welcome improvement   contract for operations and maintenance
                         for NNPC, whose entire 445,000 bpd refining   (O&M) services for its four refineries. The scope
                         capacity has been shut in for nearly two years   of work will include short- and long-term pro-
                         following failure to carry out appropriate turn-  duction and operations planning, production
                         around maintenance (TAM) for four decades.  and operations execution, monitoring, and
                                                              reporting and optimisation of operations.
                         State slate                            This will involve process and control engi-
                         The Port Harcourt complex is comprised of two   neering, quality control, quality assurance and
                         units, built roughly 25 years apart, with their   laboratory, environmental management and
                         combined capacity making it Nigeria’s largest   planning and execution for long-awaited TAM.
                         refinery.                              However, criticism has been levelled at the
                           PHRC as well as the smaller Kaduna (110,000   government for paying for a refurb before pri-
                         bpd) and Warri (125,000 bpd) units have typi-  vatising the units.         NNPC’s entire
                         cally run at less than 10% of capacity in recent   Atedo Peterside, founder and CEO of Stanbic   445,000 bpd
                         years. NNPC noted in mid-2019 that the refin-  IBTC Bank, said the government “should halt”
                         eries were operating at just 5.55% of their capac-  its plans and “subject this brazen & expensive   refining capacity
                         ity, with that figure being a six-month high. The   adventure to an informed national debate”. He
                         units were all taken offline entirely shortly there-  noted: “Many experts prefer that this refinery is   has been shut
                         after in anticipation of the rehabilitation work   sold ‘as is’ by [the Bureau of Public Enterprises]
                         that is ongoing at Port Harcourt.    to core-investors with proven capacity to repair  in for nearly two
                           Some confusion was created when Alex   it with their own funds.”         years following
                         Okoh, the director-general of the Bureau of   NNPC’s group managing director Mele Kyari
                         Public Enterprises (BPE), told Punch that he   jumped to the defence of the initiative, disagree-  failure to carry
                         thought NNPC’s refineries were partly opera-  ing with suggestions that the existing refinery
                         tional. Earlier this month he said: “I think that   could be scrapped and replaced with another for  out appropriate
                         Warri would be around 5%, Port Harcourt   the amount being paid for the revamp. He said
                         around 19/20%, and Kaduna is zero.” However,   that building a new unit of similar class to the   turnaround
                         NNPC’s statements relating to PHRC appear to   existing Port Harcourt complex would cost the   maintenance for
                         suggest it is out of service.        government $7-12bn and take up to four years
                           In 2019, a $1.2bn project was planned across   to complete.               four decades
                         the four state refineries designed to restore out-  He said that the “real cost” of the rehab work
                         put to at least 90% of nameplate capacity, with   is $1.34bn. “Even then, you could argue and say
                         work originally anticipated being completed   why you wouldn’t build a new refinery. We have
                         by 2023. However, the budget has grown by   also seen some curious comparisons that Shell
                         $300mn and the scope has been confined to   sold one of its refineries for $1.2bn and that it’s
                         PHRC.                                even better than our own.”
                                                                Meanwhile, Kyari also created some confu-
                         Revamped role                        sion by saying that the latest TAM at Port Har-
                         Meanwhile, with NNPC understood to be con-  court was carried out in 2000 and the high cost
                         sidering offloading the majority of its stakes in   of the new programme was caused by the previ-
                         the refineries, its role in the revamped refinery   ous TAM around 19 years earlier being poorly
                         is yet to be defined.                executed.
                           A condition of the Afreximbank loan that   In spite of this, momentum appears to be
                         a “professional operations and maintenance   building behind Nigerian downstream and the
                         company [be hired] to maintain the refinery” –   650,000 bpd Dangote refinery is expected to
                         unsurprising given the state oil firm’s poor track   come into operation early next year. There too,
                         record. The company has since announced it will   though, NNPC is intending to take a supporting
                         no longer operate the facility, nor its other refin-  role, with reports suggesting it has returned to
                         eries at Kaduna and Warri.           Afreximbank for another $2.5bn to buy a 20%
                           In May, NNPC launched a tender for a   equity share in the facility. ™


























       Week 30   28•July•2021                   www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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