Page 12 - EurOil Week 10 2022
P. 12

EurOil                                       PERFORMANCE                                               EurOil


       European gas prices hit unprecedented




       high amid ongoing Ukrainian conflict




        EUROPE           THE front-month gas price at the Dutch TTF  time being, supplies are actually higher than
                         hub spiked at close to $4,000 per 1,000 cubic  they were in February. Meanwhile, temperatures
       Moscow's actions   metres on March 7, amid the escalating conflict  across Europe have dipped lower in recent days,
       in Ukraine have   in Ukraine that has built on top of an existing  and Asian demand for LNG has soared, limiting
       exacerbating an existing   energy crunch crisis in Europe.  how much gas can be sent to European ports.
       energy crunch crisis in   The April contract at the hub briefly settled   The crisis has prompted several EU mem-
       Europe            at €345 per 1,000 cubic metres at around 08:30  ber states to rethink their reliance on Russian
                         GMT, equivalent to $3,990 per cubic metres. Its  energy, including Germany, which has halted the
                         average for the day was €227.        certification process for Russia’s Nord Stream 2
                           Pressure has been rapidly building on Euro-  pipeline that is required for the project to ever
                         pean gas prices since Moscow began its military  flow gas. Since then, Berlin has announced it
                         campaign in Ukraine. Prices were already at  will devote itself to building two LNG import
                         record levels in recent months as a result of esca-  terminals in north Germany that can serve as a
                         lating tensions between Russia and the West, as  replacement.
                         well as a sharp rebound in demand following the   Italy, another important market for Russian
                         easing of coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions  gas, has similarly announced plans to reduce
                         and global supply constraints.       its reliance on its main supplier, Gazprom.
                           There are mounting concerns that the conflict  Italian officials were in Algeria last week to dis-
                         in Ukraine could lead to a disruption in Russian  cuss bolstering supply from the North African
                         gas transit via the country, even though, for the  country.™

                                                        POLICY




       Dutch safety watchdog stays Groningen



       production still a risk





        NETHERLANDS      A Dutch safety watchdog has warned against   Despite calls to postpone the field’s closure,
                         resuming extra gas flow at the giant Gronin-  the government has refused to alter its plans even
       The government has   gen gas field, even though Europe finds itself in  further. And on March 8, the Netherlands’ State
       already revised its   the grip of an acute energy crisis as the war in  Supervisor for Mines, which advises the gov-
       production quota for   Ukraine continues.              ernment, stressed that production still posed a
       Groningen for this year.  Groningen is the largest field in Europe out-  safety risk to people in the area.
                         side Russia, and at its peak it produced 88bn   “Only once gas production has been phased
                         cubic metres of gas in 1986. But production  out and the houses that need it have been rein-
                         activities caused earthquakes, and eventually  forced, wil Groningen be just as safe as the rest
                         the Dutch government took action in 2014, and  of the Netherlands,” Theodor Kockelkoren, the
                         ordered the NAM joint venture between Shell  inspector-general of the supervisor, said in a
                         and ExxonMobil to close down the field. Its full  statement.
                         shutdown was initially scheduled for 2030, but   Still, the Netherlands may be forced to
                         the target was brought forward in 2019 to 2022.  take action as its own consumers face soaring
                           The government has already revised the  energy bills, as do consumers across Europe.
                         yearly production quota for the year ending  The EU may even put pressure on the govern-
                         October 1, 2022 once in light of how tight the  ment to shift its position, especially if Russia
                         gas market in Europe has become, opting in Jan-  makes good on its threat to disrupt gas deliv-
                         uary to nearly double it to 7.6 bcm, from 3.9 bcm.  eries to the continent. The bloc is also looking
                         But it insists that the field will cease production  to expand LNG imports, particularly from the
                         altogether as planned in October this year.  US and Qatar. ™







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