Page 7 - EurOil Week 24 2021
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EurOil                                       COMMENTARY                                               EurOil









                                                                                                  PiS leader Jaroslaw
                                                                                                  Kaczynski (C) and
                                                                                                  Prime Minister Mateusz
                                                                                                  Morawiecki celebrated
                                                                                                  in Warsaw.



















                         recently voted through to sit on ExxonMobil’s   The positive reception of the consolidation
                         board or Royal Dutch Shell being told in no  plans – with the stock rising 43% so far this year
                         vague terms by a court it had to almost halve its  – eclipses the company being the darling of the
                         emissions in just under a decade.    government and the quite un-business-like con-
                           Orlen’s strategy does encompass novel-  troversies that have come with that status.
                         ties that the drive to mitigate climate change   Orlen has been accused of serving the gov-
                         is enforcing on the company. As part of the  ernment’s agenda of stifling criticism in the
                         company’s PLN140bn investment drive  by  media after it took over Polska Press, a publisher
                         2030 – which includes PLN85bn for renewable  of several national and local media last year.
                         energy and new petrochemical projects, two of   The takeover – and Orlen’s weak justifica-
                         the company’s three growth engines (the third  tions for it – provoked questions about whether
                         being retail) – Orlen plans getting into offshore  the United Right government was thus laying
                         and onshore wind, solar energy, as well as energy  ground to secure positive coverage in numerous
                         storage.                             local media in the run-up to general and local
                           The company is also investing in hydrogen  elections, both due in 2023.
                         with first two hydrogen refuelling stations for   The company’s CEO, Daniel Obajtek, has
                         buses and passenger cars in major cities Poznan  not escaped controversy, either. Unknown
                         and Katowice. The stations, as well as a hydro-  prior to PiS’s taking over power, Obajtek rose
                         gen fuel production hub in Trzebinia – which  to the top spot in Poland’s business from being
                         is under construction and will go online by the  an elected official in the rural community of
                         end of the year – mark Orlen’s growing interest  Pcim in southern Poland. Recently, the opposi-
                         in alternative fuels, as burning climate-warming  tion-aligned media have been all over Obajtek
                         fossil fuels is coming under increasing pressure  for alleged shenanigans while he was still an
                         from regulators and financiers.      official in Pcim and for his allegedly pot-holed
                           Orlen plans to announce the strategy for the  financial statements, especially with regard to
                         combined grouping with Lotos and PGNiG in  real estate he owns.
                         the second half of 2021.               So far the company’s net take has only dimin-
                           “The overall strategic direction will prioritize  ished under Obajtek, from PLN5.6bn in 2018
                         investments in the petrochemical, renewable  – the year he took over at the company’s helm
                         electricity generation and retail segments. We  – to PLN4.3bn in 2019 and PLN3.4bn last year,
                         view the broad strategic targets as positive in  latterly due to the pandemic. The company’s debt
                         light of long-term challenges related to energy  was PLN12bn in 2020, nearly five times the fig-
                         transition,” Fitch Ratings wrote.    ure for 2019 and twice the 2018 level – an effect
                           “While the all-share merger is in line with the  of taking over Enea’s debt.
                         financial policy, the updated strategy will still be   Nevertheless, analysts tip Orlen’s share price
                         an important factor driving Orlen’s rating. In  to continue rising, at least until there are any
                         particular capex and shareholder remuneration  wider oil industry shifts such as in Opec produc-
                         plans will be assessed in light of Orlen’s planned  tion quotas or shale oil production.  “The refin-
                         focus on retail, petrochemical and renewables  ing industry was hit hard during the pandemic
                         assets amid energy transition as well as the  and any event that promises the containment [of
                         potential for the merged entity to play a signif-  the virus] will be immediately discounted by the
                         icant role in Poland’s bid to reduce reliance on  market,” BOS Bank analyst Lukasz Prokopiuk
                         coal for electricity,” Fitch Ratings added.  recently told the newspaper Puls Biznesu. ™



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