Page 5 - DMEA Week 04 2022
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA











































                         products to cover all of Nigeria’s domestic  being added in 2022, namely those being built
                         demand.                              by Duport Midstream in Edo State (2,500 bpd in
                           The country is currently a net importer of  March), ans Azikel Petroleum Ltd (12,000 bpd)
                         fuel, despite its position as Africa’s largest crude  and Atlantic International Refineries and Petro-
                         oil producer.                        chemical (2,000 bpd), both in Bayelsa State.
                                                                While they will be eclipsed by the 540,000
                         Refining uptick                      bpd throughput of Dangote – and 650,000 bpd
                         NNPC took its Port Harcourt, Kaduna and  soon after – these will take Nigeria’s modular
                         Warri refineries out of service in 2019 for long  refining capacity beyond 38,000 bpd, providing
                         overdue repairs, having failed to carry out turn-  a much-needed ‘win’ for domestic enterprise and
                         around maintenance (TAM) work in as much as  delivering a proven business model for future
                         four decades.                        remote field development.
                           The country’s state refining capacity fell to
                         zero as a result.                    Wait almost over
                           That maintenance work kicked off belatedly  The Nigerian government has great hopes for
                         in mid-2021, following major awards to Ita-  the impact the Dangote refinery will have when
                         ly’s Maire Tecnimont, Saipem and subsidiary  it comes into operation and the facility is seen
                         Saipem Contracting, and is unlikely to bear fruit  as the silver bullet to costly fuel subsidies and
                         until next year.                     imports of refined products.
                           However, according to a research note by   At present, Nigeria is spending around NGN3
                         consultancy IGM Energy, “the Nigerian down-  trillion ($7.23bn) per year on subsidies, while
                         stream sector has received a meaningful boost  refined product imports account for around 30%
                         over the past 14 months from the successful  of foreign exchange spending.
                         implementation of several modular refinery   With Dangote buying up to 70% of its feed-
                         projects integrated with oilfield developments”.  stock in naira, the Central Bank of Nigeria
                           These facilities have a current capacity of  (CBN) anticipates that the government will no
                         22,000 bpd, it said, and account for Nigeria’s full  longer need to import fuel, with another 10% of
                         active refining slate.               forex spending to be saved by the launch of the
                           When it launches though, the Dangote facil-  integrated Dangote Petrochemical unit, which
                         ity will “steal the limelight”, turning Nigeria from  includes a 3mn tonne per year (tpy) fertiliser unit
                         an importer of refined products to an export  to produce ammonia and urea for use in agricul-
                         overnight. The success of modular refining is  ture, as well as polypropylene and polyethylene.
                         likely to continue providing vital fuel supplies   Such figures paint a bright future for fuel and
                         to remote areas and easing reliance on infra-  fertiliser availability in Nigeria, and may provide
                         structure that is susceptible to vandalism. IGM  enough building blocks to finally remove subsi-
                         Energy sees a further three modular refineries  dies and ease the strain on government coffers.™




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