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       San Leon currently holds an initial 10.58%  volume expectations.         capacity, not just Nigeria. The region is highly
       indirect economic interest in OML 18, which is   Prospects looked bright for the MA-1X well  dependent on foreign diesel and imports nearly
       unaffected by the identity of the operator. Fur-  drilled in the second and third quarter 2022,  700,000 barrels per day, which is 80% of its
       ther announcements will be made as and when  with SDX encouraged by evaluation results  needs. The diesel supply gap has grown consider-
       appropriate.                        applying for a development lease for the Mohsen  ably since 2020 when a wave of refinery closures
       San Leon Energy, 07 March 2023      discovery.                           swept the Sub-Saharan Africa region and slashed
                                              In the meanwhile, production at the much  domestic supply.
                                           smaller West Gharib field averaged a gross   The S&P report also calls for the development
       PERFORMANCE                         output of 2,033 boepd in 2022. The company  of renewable energy sources such as solar photo-
                                           said that since October 2022, the development  voltaics (PV) in Nigeria, as a means to reduce the
       Egypt’s Petroleum Ministry          infill drilling campaign has continued with the  country’s dependence on diesel.
                                           FDLN-2 and Rabul-9 having been drilled, com-
                                                                                bna/IntelliNews, 06 March 2023
       targets raising crude and           pleted and brought online, bringing the total
                                           number of wells drilled in the current campaign
       condensate production to            to eleven. Adding that workover operations on   POLICY
                                           the existing well-stock to maximise recovery
       640,000 bpd                         from the fields continues.           Egypt’s government raises
                                           bna/IntelliNews, 06 March 2023
       Egypt’s Petroleum Ministry is targeting raising                          fuel prices by an average of
       national crude and condensate production to   Diesel shortage looms in
       between 630,000-640,000 barrels per day (bpd)                            10% to reduce subsidy bill
       by June 2023 from 490,000 bpd level at the end   Nigeria despite planned
       of 2022, Amwal Al Ghad reports citing ministry                           The Egyptian government’s Automatic Fuel Pric-
       sources.                            Dangote Refinery opening,            ing Committee raised administratively decided
         In recent months, the ministry of petroleum                            fuel prices by an average of 10% to reduce the
       has intensified onshore and offshore research   S&P warns                impact of subsidies on the state budget. The
       and exploration efforts for new oil and natural                          sharp devaluation of the Egyptian Pound against
       gas discoveries aimed at increasing crude and  Nigeria may experience a shortage of diesel  major currencies in January raised the govern-
       condensate exports to generate foreign currency  supply in the short term, despite the upcoming  ment’s fuel subsidy bill since fuels are an interna-
       revenues for the cash-strapped treasury.  opening of the new Dangote Refinery in Q4  tional commodity priced in US Dollars.
         Egypt’s total oil and gas production hit  2023, according to a report by S&P Global Com-  Fuel prices charged to motorists at the pump
       79.5mn tonnes in 2022, of which crude oil pro-  modity Insights.         will increase by 7% for 95-octane gasoline to
       duction accounted for 27.8mn tonnes and natu-  The S&P report indicates that the refinery will  EGP11.5 ($0.37) per litre, 10.8% for 92-octane
       ral gas production accounted for 50.6mn tonnes  only reach full production capacity by the end of  gasoline to EGP10.25 ($0.33) per litre, and 9.4%
       and butane production 1.1mn tonnes.  2024, leaving it unable to provide substantial vol-  for 80-octane gasoline to EGP8.75 ($0.28) per
         Egypt’s natural gas exports hit 8mn tonnes in  umes of diesel to meet local demand before then.  litre. Meanwhile, the price of fuel oil used by
       2022, up from 7mn tonnes in 2021, worth $8.4bn   Continued reliance on imported diesel could  industry will rise by 20% to EGP6,000 ($195.3)
       in 2022, up by 140% year on year, most of which  cause diesel prices to increase even further, espe-  per tonne.
       was in the form of liquefied natural gas (LNG).  cially when combined with the market disrup-  The rise in fuel prices is certain to propel
       bna/IntelliNews, 07 March 2023      tion caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  Egypt’s red-hot inflation even higher, but the
                                              According to January 2023 data from the  government had no choice given its commit-
       SDX Energy’s operational            National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), diesel prices  ment to bringing local fuel prices in line with
                                           rose 187.69% y/y nationally.
                                                                                global markets under its $3bn loan agreement
       update indicates solid              sel-powered generators as an alternative power  last December to reduce the budget deficit.
                                                                                with the International Monetary Fund signed
                                              Many businesses in Nigeria rely on die-
       performance from Egyptian           source due to the country’s unreliable power  The government’s fuel subsidy bill reportedly
                                           supply.
                                                                                quadrupled in the first six months of Fiscal Year
       assets in 2022                      Sub-Saharan Africa lacks sufficient refining   bna/IntelliNews, 06 March 2023
                                              According to the report, the entirety of  2022/2023 that ends in June.
       North Africa focused SDX Energy’s operational
       update indicates a solid performance, especially                         Nigeria challenges
       from its Egyptian assets at the South Disouq and
       West Gharib fields, the company said in a press                          $11bn awarded to P&ID
       release.
         Output was strong at South Disouq field in                             in London High Court
       the Nile Delta region with gross production
       averaging 38.5mn cubic feet (1.09mn cubic                                Nigeria’s federal government has asked the High
       metres) of natural gas per day, or 2,720 barrels                         Court in London to overturn an arbitration
       of oil equivalent per day (boepd) net for full year                      award worth $11bn in favour of Process and
       2022. This was partly due to the SD-5X well,                             Industrial Developments (P&ID), a company
       drilled in the second quarter of 2022, going into                        that entered into an agreement with Nigeria to
       production, exceeding the immediate post-drill                           build a gas-processing plant in Cross River State.



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