Page 5 - MEOG Week 36
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MEOG                                         COMMENTARY                                               MEOG

































                         deal for Block 17, north-west of Samawah, along  Mediterranean Sea, and is in the process of
                         the route of the pipeline. The deal was notewor-  studying the economic feasibility of the project

                         thy because of the challenges of operating in the  and the appropriate geographical and security
                         area and because the Gazprom subsidiary is a  conditions”.
                         pipeline rather than exploration specialist.  Middle East Oil & Gas (MEOG) under-
                                                              stands that the line in question would be con-
                         Resuming imports                     structed along a separate route to the redundant
                         Meanwhile, Jordan will resume importing oil  Kirkuk-Banias pipeline.
                         from Iraq this month, according to Bloomberg.   Kirkuk-Banias had a nameplate capacity

                         The media outlet quoted Hassan Hiari, director  of 300,000 bpd until it was damaged and shut
                         of the gas and oil department at the Ministry of  down in 2003. Ambitious eff orts were made in
                         Energy and Mineral Resources, as saying that no  2007 and 2010 involving the aforementioned
                         shipments were made during August because of  Stroytrangaz to rehabilitate the line, but nothing
                         the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.  has been heard of these plans since.
                           In July, Amman and Baghdad came to an   It would be a strange choice for Iraq, which
                         agreement on the resumption of oil exports,  is currently walking a tightrope between its reli-
                         with Iraq completing all of the required logis-  ance on Iranian gas for its domestic power sector
                         tical preparations. Jordanian Energy Minister  and Western infl uence in the Gulf, which it will
                         Hala Zawati told press gathered in Amman that  doubtless hope ensures safe passage of its crude

                         crude flows had stopped after prices fell below  to international markets.

                         $20 per barrel.


                           After lengthy delays, the first batch of Iraqi  Few options

                         crude left Baiji for Jordan via Kirkuk in Septem-  Aside from the lengthy projects to establish
                         ber under a deal for 10,000-barrel cargoes to  meaningful routes through Jordan and Syria,
                         arrive daily by truck.               Baghdad has few other options. Speaking in late
                           From then until April this year, a total of  2015, then oil minister Abdul Mahdi said that
                         2.44mn barrels of oil were exported to Jordan,  the idea of re-opening the Iraq Saudi Arabia
                         with the most recent cargoes being unloaded  Pipeline (ISAP) was still being considered, but
                         into Jordanian trucks at the border in an effort  stressed that it was a matter “governed by poli-

                         to halt the spread of COVID-19.      tics and the relations between the two countries
                           A bilateral deal was signed in February 2019  primarily.”


                         and includes that the crude flows cover around   Those talks appear to have dried up, but dis-
                         7% of Jordan’s current demand, buying the oil  cussions between Iraq and Saudi Arabia have
                         at a $16 per barrel discount to Brent in order to  instead centred on gas and grid connectiv-
                         cover the transport and deviation in specifica-  ity, with rumours of Saudi Aramco helping to

                         tions. In return, Iraqi goods exported through  develop gas reserves in southern and western
                         the port of Aqaba receive preferential rates.  Iraq.
                                                                Meanwhile, cross-border trade has also
                         Syria to the sea                     increased with Kuwait, though in the form of
                         To the north, and less appealing, is the idea of  Iraq seeking to import Kuwaiti gas. Th  ere has
                         a pipeline route through Syria. Jihad has pre-  been talk of Iraq increasing its transport capabil-
                         viously been quoted as saying that the minis-  ities through Turkey, but with the Kirkuk-Cey-
                         try was considering “the extension of an Iraqi  han line in need of attention, its repair is likely to
                         oil pipeline through Syrian territory to the  be fi rst in line for investment.™


       Week 36   09•September•2020              www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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