Page 8 - AsianOil Week 21 2021
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AsianOil                                    SOUTHEAST ASIA                                           AsianOil









                         applicable sanctions issued by the EU or the US  gas-to-power project involving in the Ayeyar-
                         authorities.”                        wady region. PTTEP will develop the 592-MW
                           Adani Ports, meanwhile, said in a May 4  project under a 20-year BOT model, with an
                         exchange filing that it might abandon its con-  optional five-year extension.
                         tainer terminal project in Yangon if the invest-  PTTEP CEO Phongsthorn Thavisin said at
                         ment was deemed to violate US sanctions.  the time that the move was the company’s “first
                           “In a scenario wherein Myanmar is classified  step in extending our business along the gas
                         as a sanctioned country under the Office of For-  value chain in Myanmar.”
                         eign Assets Control [OFAC], or if OFAC opines   While PTTEP has said the project could face
                         that the project violates the current sanctions,  delays in the wake of the February coup, it has
                         [Adani Ports] plans to abandon the project and  refrained from directly commenting on Myan-
                         write down the investments,” the company said.  mar’s domestic situation. Nor should one expect
                           The situation for PTT, however, is more  the company to offer any such comment, given
                         difficult.                           Thailand’s own political situation.
                                                                Pavin Chachavalpongpun, a Thai political
                         Thais that bind                      scientist who specialises in Southeast Asian
                         PTT has a number of commercial interests in  politics, noted in an April article in the New
                         Myanmar and has been expanding and diversi-  York Times that Bangkok was loathe to criticise
                         fying its position in the country in recent years.  Myanmar’s coup, given that Thai Prime Minis-
                           Thailand has depended heavily on gas from  ter and former general Prayuth Chan-ocha led
                         Myanmar, with the offshore Yadana, Yetagun  Thailand’s 2014 coup.
                         and Zawtika fields all pumping gas across the   Chachavalpongpun pointed out that both the
                         border. But dwindling supplies from the fields,  Myanmar and Thai militaries had drafted the lat-
                         as well as falling production at home, have forced  est versions of their constitutions – in 2008 and
                         PTT to diversify into liquefied natural gas (LNG)  2016 respectively. Moreover, when Myanmar
                         imports.                             junta leader Min Aung Hlaing asked for Chan-
                           Not only is Thailand liberalising its gas mar-  ocha to “support democracy” in the immedi-
                         ket to encourage private imports of the fuel, but  ate wake of the February coup, the Thai leader
                         the government has also touted the potential of  assented.
                         the country becoming a regional LNG trading   Both countries share a history of military gov-
                         hub in the future.                   ernance and their governments are more likely
                           This, then, would explain why PTT has  to support the other for fear of casting doubt on
                         shown more interested of late in Myanmar’s  their own legitimacy. In this light, it is hard to
                         downstream gas market, having reached an  envision a situation where PTT can directly cut
                         agreement with the Myanmar government on  ties – or even voice criticism of – Myanmar’s new
                         December 2020 on the development of a $2bn  regime.™
































                         The Yadana gas field in the Andaman Sea.
                         Image: Total



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