Page 10 - AsiaElec Week 17 2021
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AsiaElec                                      RENEWABLES                                             AsiaElec


       China’s renewable gencos take on more debt





        CHINA            CHINA’S state-owned renewable power gener-  by a modest amount.
                         ators (renewable gencos) are set to take on more   This divergence in the leverage trend of
                         debt in a bid to drive forward the government’s  state-owned and private renewable gencos is in
                         renewable development.               line with our view that state-owned gencos will
                           Fitch Ratings warned that the government  dominate China’s future renewable investments,
                         would put more pressure on renewable gencos;  as they optimise fuel mix and achieve organic
                         financial leverage in the medium term, while  growth by using their strong funding capability.
                         some adequately funded private operators’ lev-  Many private operators sold projects or
                         erage may also rise.                 equity to stay afloat amid tight liquidity, while
                           The rating’s agency forecast comes as 2020  some optimised operating portfolios by focusing
                         saw renewable gencos raise their leverage as a  on less subsidy-reliant projects.
                         result of rising capital expenditure.  Most renewable gencos’ 2020 earnings bene-
                           The renewable subsidiaries of China’s stat-  fited from dispatch priority as electricity demand
                         ed-owned gencos, including China Datang  recovered from April 2020, with national power
                         Renewable (Datang Renew), China Longyuan  demand increasing by 3.1% for the year.
                         Power (Longyuan), CGN New Energy and Bei-  China’s utilisation rate for wind and solar
                         jing Enterprise Clean Energy, saw net leverage,  capacity improved to 97% and 98% respectively
                         measured by net debt/EBITDA, increase by  in 2020, as curtailment was alleviated by strong
                         0.6x-1.4x in 2021.                   power demand in western China, and the start
                           Their capex rose by 23%-75% in 2020, and  of operations of new ultra-high-voltage trans-
                         was mostly debt-funded, which offset the aver-  mission lines.
                         age 10% increase in EBITDA.            Major wind developers such as Datang
                           In contrast, private renewable gencos such as  Renew, Longyuan and CNE saw utilisation
                         GCL New Energy (GCLNE) and Concord New  hours increase by 2%-10% in 2020.
                         Energy (CNE, BB-/Stable) reduced debt via asset   Fitch said that the net leverage of state-owned
                         or equity sales.                     renewable gencos would rise further in 2021 on
                           CNE sold 484 MW of wind farms and 160  aggressive investments, before the new projects
                         MW of solar farms in 2020, which reduced its  add to earnings.
                         FFO net leverage to 4.5x, from 6.9x in 2019.   China aims to increase wind and solar’s share
                         GCLNE, which announced solar capacity sales  of power supply to 11% in 2021 and 16.5% in
                         of near 2 GW, saw its net debt/EBITDA decline  2025, from 9.7% in 2020.™













































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