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AfrElec                                      COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec















































                         and Africa, and it will give Cyprus a means of  Government of National Accord (GNA), based
                         converting its as-yet undeveloped gas resources  in Tripoli and recognised by the UN, and has
                         into LNG that can be sold anywhere in the world.  provided military support in the form of both
                         It will also be able to provide Iraq with another  troops and materiel. Meanwhile, Cairo is back-
                         means of delivering its oil to the Mediterranean  ing the rival Libyan National Army (LNA),
                         market. At the same time, it can continue to push  headed by Khalifa Haftar, and has said it may
                         forward with the development of its own energy  send some of its own soldiers into the country.
                         resources, including offshore gas fields such as   If these conflicts heat up, Egypt will be hard-
                         Zohr and solar farms such as the 1,650-MW  pressed to achieve its aims. It may have to delay
                         Benban facility.                     work on planned undersea pipelines and trans-
                                                              mission cables if Turkey actively contests its right
                         Greece, Libya and other hazards      to operate in disputed territory. Likewise, it may
                         Nevertheless, the country will be operating in a  have to divert funds and resources to Libya if the
                         complex geopolitical environment.    conflict in the country heats up.
                           Tensions have risen in the region since last   Meanwhile, there are other factors at work,
                         year, when Turkey and Libya signed a maritime  according to Ian Simm, principal advisor at con-
                         agreement outlining their territorial claims in  sultancy IGM Energy.
                         the Eastern Mediterranean. The document has   Speaking to NewsBase about the planned
                         drawn a sharply negative response from Greece,  pipeline for gas from the Aphrodite field,
                         which has very different ideas about where the  Simm commented: “The timing of the pipeline
                         boundary lines should be drawn. It has also exac-  announcement is curious, given that construc-
                         erbated long-standing disputes between Cyprus  tion work began in July on Cyprus’ Cynergy
                         and Turkey, especially now that the latter has  FSRU [floating storage and regasification unit]
                         begun shooting a new seismic survey in waters  and LNG terminal. However, it supports Cai-
                         near the former.                     ro’s ambitions of becoming an energy hub and
                           Additionally, it has inspired Greece and Egypt  would provide Cyprus with access to the Egyp-
                         to draw up their own maritime accord. That doc-  tian market and beyond. Perhaps the thinking in
                         ument, which was signed in early August, pits  Nicosia is that the two projects offer diversified
                         both countries against Turkey, as it outlines ter-  sales opportunities, with Cynergy also capable
                         ritorial claims that contradict the 2019 maritime  of receiving LNG cargoes. While the pipeline
                         agreement.                           is expected to take gas solely from Aphrodite,
                           At the same time, Egypt is already at odds  Cyprus also has 3-5tn cubic feet [85-142bn cubic
                         with Turkey in Libya, which remains mired  metres] of gas reserves at Calypso and another
                         in civil conflict. Ankara has supported Libya’s  5-8 tcf [142-227 bcm] at Glaucus.”™



       Week 36   10•September•2020              www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P7
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