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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         Revised financing plans              such as the Africa Institute for Energy Govern-
                         According to previous reports, equity in the   ance and the Alliance for Food Sovereignty in
                         pipeline consortium will be split 37.5% to   Africa.
                         TotalEnergies, 37.5% to CNOOC, 15% to   The intended recipients, meanwhile,
                         Uganda National Oil Co. (UNOC) and 5%   included 22 commercial and state-run banks
                         to Tanzania Petroleum Development Corp.   that were expected to provide part of the financ-
                         (TPDC).                              ing for EACOP. At least five of these banks –
                           The French company, which is serving as   ANZ, BNP Paribas, Crédit Agricole, Société
                         operator of the group, has been saying that   Générale and UniCredit – subsequently aban-
                         it expects the cost of the pipeline to be about   doned plans to support the pipeline project. At
                         $3.55bn – and that it would cover the cost with   the same time, many of the others are facing
                         $2.5bn in debt financing and $1bn in contri-  pressure from shareholders and environmen-
                         butions from EACOP’s member companies.   tal activist groups to curtail lending to projects
                         In May, though, it acknowledged that the cost   involving fossil fuels.
                         estimate had been raised to $5bn, with $3bn   Similar pressure is being applied to the pri-
                         to come from debt financing and $2bn from   mary addressees of the letter – ICBC (China),
                         shareholders.                        the Ugandan branch of South Africa’s Standard
                           TotalEnergies has not had much to say pub-  Bank Group and Sumitomo Mitsui (Japan),   It appears that
                         licly about the reasons for this change. However,   all of which have agreed to act as transactional
                         it appears that the company anticipates having   advisers for TotalEnergies, CNOOC and the   TotalEnergies may
                         to borrow a larger sum because a number of   governments of Uganda  and Tanzania on
                         prominent financial institutions are declining   EACOP. Standard Bank in particular has been  have to borrow
                         its requests for loans and other financial services.  criticised by environmental groups for signing
                           So far, seven commercial banks – ANZ   on to the project, largely because of its extensive  a larger sum for
                         (Australia/New Zealand), Barclays (UK), BNP   track record of financing coal projects but also   EACOP because of
                         Paribas (France), Crédit Agricole (France),   because its lending policy does not put fossil
                         Credit Suisse (Switzerland), Société Générale   fuels beyond the pale.   lenders’ concerns
                         (France) and UniCredit (Italy) – have decided
                         against providing financing for EACOP. The   More obstacles looming?       about climate
                         British export credit agency UK Export Finance   At this point, Standard Bank Group does not
                         (UKEF) has also turned down a request for   appear to be contemplating an exit from EACOP.  issues
                         funding, while the French insurance company   It did promise in May 2021 that it would roll
                         AXA announced in July that it would not pro-  out a new climate policy in the first half of 2022,
                         vide coverage for the project.       during its next reporting cycle. Presumably the
                                                              new version will be more restrictive than the
                         Climate considerations               bank’s existing policy, which imposes certain
                         All of these financial institutions have cited   restrictions on lending for oil, gas and coal
                         climate considerations as the reason for their   projects and requiring borrowers to minimise
                         decision.                            or reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
                           Specifically, they have described EACOP as   However, it will probably not have any retroac-
                         incompatible with their commitment to fund   tive components; that is, it will not require the
                         only projects that are in line with the Paris   bank to abandon any commitments that it has
                         Agreement, which aims to keep the rise in aver-  already made.
                         age global temperatures to 2 degrees centigrade   Even so, recent developments such as
                         or less by the end of the 21st century.  TotalEnergies’ higher estimate for pipeline
                           Some of the financial institutions in question   construction costs and AXA’s decision to stay
                         have faced outside pressure. In early March,   out of the project should serve as notice that
                         more than 260 non-governmental organisations   Uganda will face further obstacles as it attempts
                         (NGOs) published an open letter that urged   to develop and monetise its oil resources. It defi-
                         financial institutions not to provide any funding   nitely moved a step closer to this goal with the
                         for the construction of the pipeline. The signa-  signing of the EACOP agreements earlier this
                         tories included well-known international NGOs   year, but it has yet to reach its target. Moreover,
                         such as Greenpeace and Friends of the Earth, as   the target could recede further if climate con-
                         well as more narrowly focused organisations   cerns continue to complicate financing. ™





















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