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MEOG                                              POLICY                                               MEOG


       Lebanon’s government resigns




       amid unrest over port explosion






        LEBANON          LEBANON’S government resigned on August  announced less than two months after taking
                         10, after days of nationwide protests following  office that Lebanon would default on its debts.
                         last week’s massive explosion in Beirut.  Lockdowns imposed to contain the coro-
                           Lebanese Prime Minister Hassan Diab  navirus initially took protesters off the streets.
                         announced his resignation almost a week after  But Lebanon’s financial situation continued to
                         the blast, which flattened most of the capital’s  worsen and many businesses were forced to lay
                         port and surrounding area. It left some 200  off staff or put them on furlough without pay,
                         people dead and wounded 6,000 others. It was  aggravating unemployment. Prices continued
                         caused by the detonation of 2,750 tonnes of  to rise, leaving many families unable to afford
                         ammonium nitrate, stored unsafely at the port  basic necessities. Meanwhile, negotiations with
                         for years. The disaster has stoked public anger,  the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a
                         sparking nationwide protests against authorities  bailout became deadlocked.
                         over years of economic mismanagement and   Soon enough, protests were back with a
                         rampant corruption.                  vengeance.

                         Economic tailspin                    What next?
                         Diab took office in January after months of dead-  Announcing his resignation on national televi-
                         lock, standing on a platform of reform. But his  sion, Diab sought to direct blame for Lebanon’s
                         government has faced a series of major protests  woes towards years of rampant corruption and
                         since then, as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pan-  the actions of the “long-ruling class.”
                         demic has put further pressure on an economy   His government, he said, had “gone to great
                         already deep in crisis.              lengths to lay out a road map to save the country.”
                           Even before pandemic, Lebanon’s public  But corruption in Lebanon is “bigger than the
                         debt-to-gross domestic product was the third  state itself,” he said, and “a very thick and thorny
                         highest in the world, while its unemployment  wall separates us from change; a wall fortified by
                         rate was 25%. Nearly a third of the country’s  a class that is resorting to all dirty methods in
                         population was estimated to be living in poverty.  order to resist and preserve its gains.”
                           For many years the central bank ran what   “They knew that we pose a threat to them and
                         many experts have described as a Ponzi scheme,  that the success of this government means a real
                         borrowing increasing amounts to pay back exist-  change in this long-ruling class whose corrup-
                         ing debts. This system finally became unsustain-  tion has asphyxiated the country,” he went on.
                         able last year and collapsed.        “Today we follow the will of the people in their
                           Against this backdrop, the state found itself  demand to hold accountable those responsible
                         struggling to provide even basic services such as  for the disaster that has been hiding for seven
                         electricity. Anger was mostly directed towards  years, and their desire for real change.”
                         the ruling elite, seen as having profiteered   Parliament will now have to decide on a new
                         for years while the rest of the population has  prime minister, which will be no easy process
                         struggled.                           given the country’s deeply-rooted sectarian
                           Meanwhile, the Lebanese pound has shed  politics. Lebanon’s three main political offices –
                         more than 80% of its value since October 2019,  president, speaker of parliament and PM – are
                         while banking restrictions have led to for-  divided among the country’s three biggest com-
                         eign currency shortages, driving up the cost of  munities, Maronite Christian, Shia Muslim and
                         imports.                             Sunni Muslim. Meanwhile the 128 seats in its
                           The previous Western-backed government  parliament are split equally between Christians
                         led by PM Saad Hariri also increased taxes on  and Muslims.
                         tobacco, gasoline, while introducing a contro-  The process is also likely to be influenced by
                         versial levy on the WhatsApp messaging app, in  external actors such as Iran, which backs the
                         an effort to raise funds. It was forced to roll back  powerful Shia Hezbollah movement in Lebanon,
                         these measures after they triggered another wave  and Saudi Arabia, which has supported Sunni
                         of mass protests. But this was not enough to quell  political groups in the country.
                         the unrest and Hariri tendered his resignation in   Diab’s successor will face the extreme chal-
                         late October.                        lenge of bringing Lebanon’s economy back from
                           Faced with an economy in tailspin, Diab  the brink.™








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