Page 8 - AfrElec Week 49 2022
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AfrElec                                      PERFORMANCE                                              AfrElec

       SA business activity up in





       November despite loadshedding







        SOUTH AFRICA     SOUTH African private sector activity recov-  levels continued to fall despite a slight upturn in
                         ered slightly in November, but output fell for a  new orders.
                         third straight month, weighed down by rolling   “Supply chains remained disrupted by load
                         power cuts (“load shedding”) and port strikes, a  shedding (power cuts) and the recent strikes at
                         survey showed on Monday (December 5).  [state-owned rails and ports operator] Transnet,
                           S&P Global’s South Africa purchasing man-  leading to a further sharp lengthening of deliv-
                         agers’ index (PMI) rose to 50.6 in November  ery times. Backlogs were also up, encouraging a
                         from 49.5 in October, above the 50.0 line that  renewed expansion in staffing levels.
                         divides expansions in activity from contractions.  “Companies gave further signals that price
                           The turnaround was largely due to an increase  pressures are easing, particularly on purchase
                         in new business volumes, with data in November  costs which increased at the slowest pace for 15
                         suggesting a rise in sales for the first time since  months. Despite mentions of rising fuel prices,
                         August.                              firms were helped by softer commodity prices
                           “The South Africa PMI was back above the  and a weaker impact from the pandemic. Sub-
                         50.0 neutral mark in November, thereby end-  sequently, output charge inflation dropped to
                         ing a two-month sequence of declining operat-  a 13-month low which should help to support
                         ing conditions in large part due to the national  sales growth in the coming months.”
                         load shedding programme,” commented    Half of all surveyed firms predicted output
                         David Owen, economist at S&P Global Market  to expand over the next year, amid expectations
                         Intelligence.                        that disruption from power cuts would ease and
                           “That said, load shedding remained a key fea-  price pressures would continue to soften, the
                         ture of the latest survey and meant that output  S&P Global survey said.™

       More power cuts in Zimbabwe







        ZIMBABWE         ZIMBABWE’S electricity generation deficit was   “Until now, many in our society thought cli-
                         further exposed on Thursday (December 8) as  mate change was merely academic,” he wrote in
                         three of its plants were producing 506MW ver-  his weekly column in the state-controlled Sun-
                         sus demand of about 1,800MW, according to the  day Mail on December 4.
                         power utility.                         “Not anymore after the decision last week by
                           As a result of the crisis, independent  the Zambezi River Authority to drastically limit
                         weekly  The  Standard  reported  on  Sunday  power generation at Kariba. We are down to a
                         (December 6), the utility, ZESA Holdings, is  mere 300MW. Like us, Zambia, our neighbour
                         blacking out some areas for as long as 12 hours  and partner on Lake Kariba, has had to reduce
                         daily. The shortage, which emerged in 2007,  generation and will embark on load shedding.
                         worsened on November 25, when Kariba hydro   “Live water levels in the lake have fallen pre-
                         plant halved production due to a low water level.  cipitously, leaving us reeling from severe power
                           Bne IntelliNews could not immediately estab-  deficits, at the very least between now and April,
                         lish the amount of power the country is import-  when we hope the water level will begin to rise
                         ing from its neighbours, but recent reports  again.” 
                         suggested Zambia was supplying 100MW while   According to the Zimbabwe Power Com-
                         Mozambique was providing 100MW as well.   pany, a ZESA Holdings subsidiary, Kariba was
                           Zambia will begin power cuts on December  producing 200MW as at 1:30 pm on Thursday.
                         15 as capacity is depressed on Kariba which it  Hwange coal-fired facility was at 296MW while a
                         shares with Zimbabwe.                smaller thermal at Bulawayo was at 10MW.
                           President Emmerson Mnangagwa blamed   The main opposition Citizens Coalition for

                         climate change for the deepening energy gap.  Change (CCC) has promised to promote the use
                         He expects it to continue until April 2023 when  of renewable energy and ensure that power gen-
                         Kariba’s water level is likely to have improved  eration in the country increases to 4,000MW.™
                         over the summer rainy season.




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