Page 11 - AsianOil Week 07 2023
P. 11

AsianOil                                         POLICY                                             AsianOil


       Increased LNG orders in China mask




       rural shortages




        CHINA            DESPITE much being made of China’s post-  prices combined, with the result that upstream
                         COVID recovery and increased LNG orders  suppliers incurred significant losses.
      Gas supply is needed   of late, the increase in gas flow to China is also   Central governmental imposed capping reg-
      to alleviate shortages in   needed to help alleviate shortages in some of the  ulations on residential use gas supplies means
      the country’s more rural   country’s more rural areas.  that prices are not permitted to be higher than
      areas.               The nation’s Hebei province, a large pocket  provincial city use prices. This has long compli-
                         of land surrounding Beijing is a prime example.  cated supply issues across China.
                           Rural areas of the province, home to around   As a result, some of China’s biggest suppliers
                         75 million but with 40% of the population  such as China Gas have been wary of agreeing
                         employed in agriculture and forestry related  to smaller-scale, short term contracts; a problem
                         industries, have seen severe gas shortages for the  that hit home primarily in the more rural areas
                         past three months with rare anti-government  of the province.
                         protests erupting in isolated cases.   As China’s third largest gas supplier, China
                           Officially these shortages have been put down  Gas is a Hong Kong based firm with infrastruc-
                         to limited inbound LNG and upstream agencies  ture and large-scale supply interests in 30 Chi-
                         in the industry preferring to put in place longer  nese provinces. Only Kunlun Energy and ENN
                         term contracts with more influential customers  Energy, supply more of the nation’s 1.4 bn pop-
                         on the industrial east coast than regional govern-  ulation with gas.
                         ments in rural China.                  Sources in China do now point to a corner
                           State media in some parts of China has now  having been turned with central government
                         started to report on the issue, in what is seen as  awareness of the issue.
                         a marker of just how serious the central govern-  As such, there are now signs in Hebei Prov-
                         ment is taking the problem.          ince at least that supplies next winter and in the
                           Shortages in Hebei were first reported in the  years following will be guaranteed, with China
                         late autumn of 2022, continuing until mid-Jan-  Gas last year agreeing to two long-term LNG
                         uary this year according to Chinese language  contracts with US sellers; one a 25-year deal with
                         media.                               Energy Transfer for 0.7 million metric tonnes
                           Problems faced by those looking to purchase  per annum (mtpa) from 2026, and a second,
                         gas centered on lack of supply or frequent inter-  larger deal with NextDecade for 1 mn mtpa from
                         ruptions in flow to many parts of the province.  the year after. ™
                           Gas is the single most widely used fuel in large
                         areas of China’s north east.
                           Social media in the country was suddenly
                         awash with accounts complaining about  sup-
                         ply issues with some reports that residents were
                         forced into the surrounding forests to collect
                         wood for fuel.
                           The local provincial government responded
                         by accusing suppliers such as one of the area’s
                         main suppliers, China Gas Holding Co Ltd, for
                         not confirming supplies ahead of the winter
                         months.
                           In similar form , blame was also attributed to
                         aging and outdated infrastructure with local gov-
                         ernment members in Wangdu County, Hebei,
                         pointing to broken pipelines and no alternative
                         measures in place to guarantee supply.
                           Making matters worse in recent days at the
                         local level are nationwide projections of LNG
                         purchases for the year ahead between 9 and 14%
                         up on last year, amounting to more than 70 mil-
                         lion tons.
                           It is not the first time China has hidden local
                         gas infrastructure woes and supply issues behind
                         large-scale orders on international markets.
                           In late 2017, again in Hebei Province, issues
                         with coal to gas switching and limited gas
                         imports coupled to local caps on downstream gas



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