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AsiaElec                               GAS-FIRED GENERATION                                          AsiaElec


       Japan’s LNG imports shrink 4.1% in August





        JAPAN            WHILE Japan’s liquefied natural gas (LNG)   Japanese demand for LNG has been slowly
                         imports shrank by 4.1% year on year in August  tapering off in the wake of the country’s restart
                         to 5.84mn tonnes, cheaper supplies of the fuel  of nuclear power generation, with nine reac-
                         prevented a steeper decline. The country paid  tors having been reactivated so far. The Japan
                         JPY190.9bn ($1.83bn) for its LNG deliveries last  Atomic Energy Commission has called for more
                         month, which was 44% less than in August 2019.  to be brought back online in order to reduce the
                           August volumes were also down 3.3% from  country’s carbon emissions and stabilise power
                         the 6.04mn tonnes imported in July.  supplies.
                           Deliveries in the first eight months of the year   The situation, coupled with tighter maritime
                         amounted to 48.2mn tonnes, around JPY2.3 tril-  emission rules, has encouraged Japanese ship-
                         lion ($22.01bn). While industrial gas demand  ping companies to speed up development of
                         remains subdued in the wake of the coronavi-  LNG bunker options.
                         rus (COVID-19) pandemic, demand from the   Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (K-Line) named
                         power sector picked up as the economics of LNG  Japan’s first LNG bunkering vessel last week
                         over coal-fired generation improved.   at Kawasaki Heavy Industries’ (KHI) Sakaide
                           Japanese thermal coal shipments contracted  Works. Central LNG Marine Fuel Japan will use
                         by 12% y/y in August to 7.9mn tonnes, according  the vessel, christened Kaguya on September 16,
                         to provisional Finance Ministry data. The uptick  to begin supplying LNG to ships in the Chubu
                         in last month’s power demand, owing to a sum-  region before the end of the year, K-Line said on
                         mer heat wave, is not expected to translate into  September 18.
                         lasting support for LNG purchases, however.  Kaguya’s first supply operations will involve
                           Japanese power and gas utilities’ high com-  the NYK-operated pure car and truck carrier
                         mitment to long-term volumes is likely to stifle  (PCTC) vessel Sakura Leader, which is the first
                         buyer interest for additional volumes even if win-  large PCTC to be fuelled by LNG. The bunker-
                         ter temperatures are colder than expected, Platts  ing vessel will also supply a new car carrier that
                         quoted unnamed market sources as saying in late  K-Line is set to deliver before the end of March
                         August.                              2021.™




       Australian prices to rise if Narrabri




       gas fields approved




        AUSTRALIA        AUSTRALIAN power and gas prices could rise  the cost of gas. It simply doesn’t make sense.”
                         if Santos’ Narrabri gas fields are approved, as the   Robertson argues that Narrabri gas will cost
                         gas must travel huge distances to reach custom-  $6.40 a gigajoule at the well head plus $2.10 a
                         ers and generating facilities on the coast.  gigajoule for transmission to Sydney.
                           The proposed Narrabri gas fields are une-  “Consumers will be paying for new pipelines
                         conomic, Bruce Robertson, gas/LNG financial  in addition to the cost of production at the fields,”
                         analyst at the Institute for Energy Economics  says Robertson. “This deal is a financial red flag,
                         and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), said in a sub-  to both electricity consumers and taxpayers who
                         mission to the Independent Planning Commis-  will wear the cost of expensive gas infrastructure
                         sion (IPC) in New South Wales.       investment under the Federal government’s
                           With the IPC due to publish a decision on  planned subsidies to the industry.
                         Narrabri by 30 September, 2020, Robertson said   “The gas industry has been suffering write-
                         Santos could not supply gas to Sydney and make  down after write-down, even before the pan-
                         a profit from the proposed Narrabri gas fields.  demic hit. They are sinking hand over fist, yet the
                           “Even the gas industry is saying they can’t  government is intent on throwing public money
                         deliver gas at the government’s desired $4 a giga-  to an industry that itself says it can’t deliver cheap
                         joule, which is the only way gas, and therefore  gas to Australian consumers.”
                         electricity prices, will drop,” says Robertson.  Robertson concludes Narrabri’s high-cost gas
                           “Narrabri gas will be high-cost gas to produce  will force up prices for domestic consumers.
                         at $8.50 a gigajoule, meaning gas consumers are   “While we pay even more for gas, which
                         likely to see higher, not lower gas prices if the  forces up the cost of electricity, the govern-
                         fields are approved.                 ment-subsidised gas companies will continue to
                           “You can’t produce high-cost gas and lower  export our lower-cost sources of gas.™



       P8                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                      Week 39   30•September•2020
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