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One of the proxies for the average nominal wage growth – namely personal income tax growth – appears at first glance to have decoupled from wage growth in December; however, considering the high historical volatility of the difference between wage and PIT growth rates, it fits within the historical standard deviation limits.
4.5.3 Retail sector dynamics
There was strong growth in Russian consumer demand in January related to the jump in real income in December. The Russian economy’s consumer segment showed solid improvement in January 2020 – growth in retail sales accelerated to 2.7% y/y, volumes of residential housing rose 14.3% y/y and services to the population rose 1.9% y/y, according to Rosstat’s monthly report released on February 20.
Retail sales expanded on the back of both the food (+2.9% y/y) and non-food (+2.5% y/y) segments. Details regarding the composition of the growth are yet to be published, but January Car Sales report shows Russia's car and LCV sales increased 2% y/y to 102,102 units in January, according to the Association of European Businesses.
39 RUSSIA Country Report March 2020 www.intellinews.com