Page 6 - AfrElec Week 38 2021
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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       Coal investment in power-poor





       countries continues to hold up





        GLOBAL           INVESTMENT in new coal-fired power plants  and their supporting infrastructure make it
                         has proved to be strong in countries with low  impossible for coal to increase electricity access
                         access-to-power rates, a recent report from the  to meet Sustainable Development Goal 7’s
                         Climate Policy Initiative (CPI) and SEforALL  (SDG7) target of universal access by 2030. Dis-
                         warned.                              tributed renewable energy generation provides
                           So-called high-impact countries (HIEs) in  the most efficient path to scale up access to elec-
                         Asia, led by Bangladesh, India and Pakistan, have  tricity in the near term.
                         received the majority of finance commitments to   The report said that Ondia is expanding new
                         new coal plants since 2013, the report said.  coal-fired power generation capacity at by far the
                           African  HICs,  principally  Madagascar,  greatest scale and is home to 87% the total coal
                         Mozambique, Malawi, Niger and Tanzania, all  generation pipeline currently under active devel-
                         currently boast active coal plant development.  opment in HICs.
                           The report looked at 18 HICs and found   Nevertheless, new finance commitments to
                         that international public finance comprised  coal plants in India have slowed in recent years,
                         the highest proportion of finance committed  representing only 20% of such commitments
                         to new coal-fired power plants since 2013. This  among HICs in the three years from 2017-2019
                         compares with renewable power plants, where  on average, compared with 45% in the three
                         nearly 60% of finance for new projects has been  years from 2014-2016.
                         committed by domestic private investors in the   Since 2016, Chinese financial institutions
                         same period. Financial institutions based in  have committed $14bn to finance coal plants
                         China account for 40% out of the total of $42bn  in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Kenya, driving the
                         in finance committed to coal-fired power plants  uptick of coal finance to HICs outside India.
                         in HICs between 2013 and 2019. Although Chi-  The report said that India currently had
                         nese institutions are the largest coal investors in  23,358 MW of coal power under development,
                         HICs, privately held financial institutions based  while Pakistan had 3,300 MW and Bangladesh
                         in the US currently account for 58% of all invest-  4,094 MW.
                         ment in the global coal industry.      In Africa, Mozambique leads the way with
                           Countries receiving coal power finance face  800 MW of coal development in the pipeline,
                         substantial socio-economic and environmental  followed by Tanzania with 420 MW, Malawi with
                         risks associated with the newly commissioned,  400 MW, Niger with 200 MW and Madagascar
                         carbon-intensive assets, the report warned.  with 60 MW.
                           For instance, infrastructure constraints and   However, there have been exits from coal,
                         lower than expected demand in Bangladesh and  with the report highlighting that the Chinese
                         Pakistan have resulted in underutilisation of  withdrawal from the Lamu coal-to-power pro-
                         newly commissioned coal-fired power plants,  ject in Kenya in 2020 effectively sealed the fate of
                         highlighting the stranded asset risk associated  the $2bn, 1-GW project.
                         with their construction. Should sub-Saharan   The AfDB had exited in 2019, as had tech-
                         African nations continue to develop new coal-  nology supplier General Electric in 2020. This
                         fired power generation capacity, they are likely  left China’s ICBC Bank, PowerChina Group and
                         to face similar challenges and costs.  China Huadian to be the last to quit in Novem-
                           Furthermore, the long development time-  ber 2020 after major legal action over environ-
                         lines associated with thermal power generators  mental opposition. ™




















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