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8.5 Fixed income
Justifying Ukraine’s recent stealth re-purchase of 10% of its $3.2bn in GDP-linked warrants, Finance Minister Sergiy Marchenko confirmed that the 2015 warrants are a financial time bomb that could cost the nation up to $22bn by 2040. With current GDP growth forecasts, Ukraine will have to make its first pay out - $40mn – next year. By 2023, payments could balloon to $600mn. Speaking to the Rada Committee on Finance, Tax and Customs Policy, he justified the stealth operation saying: “After the end of the operation, we removed the "secret" stamp and, as a result of the publication of this information, the prices for GDP warrants jumped by 8%.”
8.5.1 Fixed income - bond news
The National Anti-Corruption Bureau has asked banks to provide information on foreigners buying and selling domestic government bonds last year, several market participants told Interfax-Ukraine. One source said the Bureau wants to know if the yields were ‘overestimated.’ With some hryvnia bond rates going as high as 19.5%, foreign purchases increased 18-fold, ending the year at 116bn hryvnia, almost $4.9bn. This year, foreign holdings grew another 10%, until the corona crisis hit in March. Today, foreigners hold 85bn hryvnia, or $3bn.
Ukraine’s largest pipe and railway wheel producer Interpipe will redeem at par $32.4mn of its 2024 notes on October 5, according to the company’s September 25 announcement filed with the Luxembourg stock exchange. After this early redemption, the amount outstanding of INTHOL’24 notes will be $81.3mn, according to Concorde Capital calculations. Recall, Interpipe
61 UKRAINE Country Report October 2020 www.intellinews.com