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AfrElec                                       COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec




       Nigeria’s PIB envisions changes





       in domestic gas sector






       The proposed legislation, which is still under discussion in the National Assembly,
       aims to make domestic gas sales a more lucrative proposition




        NIGERIA          EVEN as the month of October nears its end,  base prices over time. It calls for increasing rates
                         Nigeria’s government has remained optimis-  by $0.05 per mmBtu per year until the year 2037,
       WHAT:             tic about its chances of securing approval from  at which point the price floor will be fixed at $4
       The PIB raises the   both houses of the National Assembly for the  per mmBtu.
       domestic base price   Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) before the end of   The legislation assigns responsibility for gas
       for gas from current   the year.                       pricing to the Nigerian Midstream and Down-
       levels, but it also offers   This optimism does not appear to be mis-  stream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMD-
       discounts to certain   placed, as the proposed oil and gas law has not  PRA), one of the new state agencies that is being
       customers         lost momentum. The bill passed during its sec-  established to replace Nigerian National Petro-
                         ond reading in the Senate on October 20, and  leum Corp. (NNPC). It states that NMDPRA
       WHY:              members of the House of Representatives began  “may, by regulations, change the domestic base
       Officials in Abuja   the second reading on the same day.  price and the yearly increase) to reflect changed
       hope the new pricing   Meanwhile, as the legislative process con-  market conditions and supply frameworks.”
       regime will attract   tinues, more information about the PIB has
       new investment to gas   emerged. This essay will examine some of the  Higher returns from domestic sales
       projects          details related to the gas sector that have come to  The new gas pricing regime is designed to
                         light in recent days.                encourage domestic gas consumption, in line
       WHAT NEXT:                                             with the government’s previously stated goals. It
       The proposed changes   New pricing regime              aims to achieve this goal by making the domestic
       require Nigeria’s   Nigeria’s government has proclaimed 2020 the  market profitable enough to attract more direct
       government to pull off a   “Year of Gas” in a bid to promote the use of the  investment.
       complicated balancing   country’s abundant natural and associated gas   Timipre Sylva, Nigeria’s Minister of State for
       act               resources. As such, it is hardly surprising that the  Petroleum Resources, hinted at the outlines of
                         legislation now under discussion contains mul-  this strategy during a meeting with members of
                         tiple provisions designed to promote domestic  the Nigerian Association of Petroleum Explora-
                         gas consumption.                     tionists (NAPE) in August. He stated that the PIB
                           According to Africa Oil + Gas Report, these  – which had not, at that point, been submitted to
                         provisions will not benefit all users equally.  the National Assembly – would “establish a gas
                         Instead, they will offer advantages to gas-fired  base price that is higher than current levels.” He
                         thermal power plants (TPPs) and gas-based  did not give a specific figure but indicated that
                         industrial consumers – namely, companies that  the higher price was anticipated to make gas
                         use gas as feedstock for the production of petro-  projects more lucrative and less vulnerable to
                         chemicals, fertiliser, methanol and the like.  fluctuations in world oil markets.
                           This advantage is evident in the domestic   “This price level should be sufficiently attrac-
                         base price for gas sales, which is being raised  tive to increase gas production significantly,
                         from the current rate of $2.5 per million Btu to  since this gas price will be comparable with gas
                         $3.2 per mmBtu as of January 1, 2021, Africa Oil  prices in other emerging economies with consid-
                         + Gas Report noted. It explained that this price  erable gas production,” he said. “The price will be
                         floor would be applicable to TPPs, even as most  independent of all gas prices for LNG export and
                         other consumers will have to pay at least $3.7  is therefore a stable basis for enhanced domestic
                         per mmBtu, with the final cost of purchase to be  gas development, regardless of international oil
                         negotiated with suppliers.           or energy development.”
                           Additionally, it said, gas-based industrial   Sylva’s statements seem logical, especially
                         consumers will be able to pay less than the floor  in light of the fact that a significant portion of
                         price. Nigerian authorities will calculate rates for  Nigeria’s gas reserves take the form of associated
                         these users in accordance with a special formula  gas that cannot be used unless it is first separated
                         that may bring prices down to as little as $1.5 per  from oil production streams.
                         mmBtu, it stated.                      Many oil operators working at Nigerian fields
                           The PIB also provides for raising domestic  have made a practice of treating associated gas



       P6                                       www. NEWSBASE .com                         Week 42  22•October•2020
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