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AfrElec                                      COMMENTARY                                              AfrElec








































                         Nuclear Power and Energy Agency (NuPEA) has  an equivalent of a third of the country’s total
                         estimated the project would cost about $50mn,  installed capacity, to address power outages. The
                         with construction works planned for 2030, a test  West African country in 2016 reportedly sealed
                         run four years later and full operations projected  a $80bn plan for four nuclear stations with Rosa-
                         for 2036.                            tom but this never materialised.
                           Uganda is considering three sites for the con-
                         struction of two 1,000-MW reactors, by 2031.  A risky path
                         This follows agreements reached by the Ugandan  The influence of Russia and China can – and
                         Ministry of Energy with Russian and Chinese  likely will – completely change the continent of
                         investors. Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni  Africa, and probably not for the better, analysts
                         in 2022 asked Russian Foreign Minister Sergei  believe. Russian influence in particular is dan-
                         Lavrov for Russia’s help in building East Afri-  gerous for the continent as it is rarely discussed
                         ca’s first NPP. In May, the International Atomic  or monitored. This is a lofty concern when it
                         Energy Agency (IAEA) gave Uganda the green  comes to Russia, which is not exactly known for
                         light to start construction of the nuclear plant.  being a team player committed to the greater
                           After the discovery of uranium deposits four  good of peace.
                         years ago, Tanzania is also looking for help from   While the levity of influence over Africa may
                         Rosatom and its subsidiary Uranium One to  sound exaggerated, it is continuing to grow and   At least seven
                         build a research reactor and subsequently set up  is showing no sign of slowing. Russian influence
                         a commercial nuclear plant. Uranium One has  can be seen in countries including Mali, which   African countries
                         a licence to mine uranium in the Mkuju River  pushed out both French and UK forces following   are at various
                         within the Selous Game Reserve.      an upsurge in pro-Russian sentiment.
                           Rwanda is also making significant strides   In the weeks following the onset of the Rus-  stages in the roll-
                         after signing a deal with Rosatom to build a cen-  sia-Ukraine war last February, pro-Russian
                         tre of nuclear science and technologies, in Octo-  protests were held in Burkina Faso, the Central   out of nuclear
                         ber 2019. While other countries on the continent  African Republic (CAR) and Mali, showing the
                         are chasing after large projects, Rwanda plans to  extent of Russia’s entrenchment in the region.   power plants
                         build two Small Modular Reactor (SMR) units,  Moreover, the withdrawal of French and UK
                         each with a capacity around 100 MW. Ghana also  troops from Mali leaves a void for the Wagner
                         is not far behind, as it is reportedly in the process  Group, a Russian private military company that
                         of designing its own nuclear plant.  has been increasing its presence there over recent
                           Morocco has advanced its plans for nuclear  months.
                         energy after the release of a report in June 2022   Furthermore, it has been argued that it is
                         that gives its legislators recommendations for  rather dangerous for Africa to go nuclear. The
                         making a switch to cleaner energy sources.   continent is highly unstable, having experienced
                           In March last year, Nigeria, Africa’s most-pop-  seven coups in the past year. This leaves nuclear
                         ulous country, began the process of securing  plants open to terrorist attacks and sabotage.
                         funding for a 4,000-MW NPP. The country is  Should that occur, it could spell disaster not only
                         betting on the four-reactor power plant with  for Africa but for the rest of the world as well.™



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